Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ST Mirren v Dundee is on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at The SMISA Stadium (Paisley); S. McLean takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, ST Mirren are 8th with 14 points after 12 matches (4W 2D 6L), whereas Dundee are 5th with 17 points (5W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. In their 28 meetings so far, ST Mirren have 13 wins, Dundee have 10 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 38–34.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 28; ST Mirren 13 wins, 5 draws, Dundee 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: ST Mirren 0, Dundee 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
ST Mirren are missing: no absences. Dundee are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.32 | 3.70 | 3.05 |
| Market average | 2.26 | 3.57 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.23 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.65 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.15 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.68 | 35.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.33 | 39.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:35. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Dundee 5th (17 points).
- H2H: 28 matches: ST Mirren 13W 5D 10L, goals 38–34.
- Absences: ST Mirren 0, Dundee 0.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
ST Mirren vs Dundee: who is missing
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Dundee
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
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ST Mirren vs Dundee: questions and answers
What is the best tip for ST Mirren vs Dundee?
Our result tip is ST Mirren or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is ST Mirren or draw (1X).
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
Our probabilities: ST Mirren to win 42%, a draw 26%, Dundee to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley. Referee: S. McLean.
Who will be missing?
ST Mirren: no absences. Dundee: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.71); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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