Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ST Mirren are at home to Hibernian on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at The SMiSA Stadium (Paisley). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, ST Mirren are 8th with 14 points after 12 matches (4W 2D 6L), whereas Hibernian are 12th with 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. ST Mirren have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Hibernian average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ST Mirren: 4W 1D 5L, goals 11–18; Hibernian: 2W 1D 7L, goals 10–16.
- Head to head. In their 53 meetings so far, ST Mirren have 12 wins, Hibernian have 25 wins and 16 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 57–80.
What to expect
Hibernian should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the ST Mirren are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 53; ST Mirren 12 wins, 16 draws, Hibernian 25 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: ST Mirren 11–18, Hibernian 10–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
ST Mirren are missing: no absences. Hibernian are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.30 | 3.53 | 2.26 |
| Market average | 3.22 | 3.39 | 2.21 |
| Lowest odds | 3.12 | 3.25 | 2.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.83 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.98 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.16 | 3.01 | 31.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Hibernian 12th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Mirren 4W 1D 5L (11:18), Hibernian 2W 1D 7L (10:16).
- H2H: 53 matches: ST Mirren 12W 16D 25L, goals 57–80.
- Absences: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: who is missing
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Hibernian
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Mirren
Home and away
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ST MirrenLDWLLHibernianDLLLDST Mirren vs Hibernian: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: questions and answers
What is the best tip for ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
Our result tip is Draw or Hibernian (X2) (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Draw or Hibernian (X2).
Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
Our probabilities: ST Mirren to win 29%, a draw 28%, Hibernian to win 43%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley.
Who will be missing?
ST Mirren: no absences. Hibernian: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.89); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.