Bet with MINO CASINO →Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk is on 8 November 2026 · 15:00 at Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh). We think Heart Of Midlothian (63%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd with 20 points after 11 matches (6W 2D 3L), whereas Falkirk are 4th with 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Heart Of Midlothian have scored 2.2 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Falkirk average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Heart Of Midlothian: 6W 2D 3L, goals 24–17; Falkirk: 5W 3D 4L, goals 15–12.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Heart Of Midlothian have 9 wins, Falkirk have 3 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 27–10.
What to expect
Heart Of Midlothian should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Heart Of Midlothian 9 wins, 1 draw, Falkirk 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Heart Of Midlothian 24–17, Falkirk 15–12.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Falkirk 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Heart Of Midlothian are missing: no absences. Falkirk are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.50 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| Market average | 1.47 | 4.57 | 5.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.10 | 5.22 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.32 | 40.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.64 | 56.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.13 | 43.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Falkirk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points), Falkirk 4th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Heart Of Midlothian 6W 2D 3L (24:17), Falkirk 5W 3D 4L (15:12).
- H2H: 13 matches: Heart Of Midlothian 9W 1D 3L, goals 27–10.
- Absences: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Falkirk 0.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: who is missing
Heart Of Midlothian
- No reported absences
Falkirk
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Heart Of Midlothian
Home and away
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Heart Of MidlothianDWLWDFalkirkWWWWLHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our result tip is Heart Of Midlothian to win (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Heart Of Midlothian or draw (1X).
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our probabilities: Heart Of Midlothian to win 63%, a draw 20%, Falkirk to win 16%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.
Who will be missing?
Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Falkirk: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 2–0 (9.9%) and 1–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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