Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ST Johnstone v Motherwell is on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at McDiarmid Park (Perth). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.61 | 3.60 | 2.83 |
| Market average | 2.53 | 3.43 | 2.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.32 | 2.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.99 | 47.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.05 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.14 | 2.09 | 44.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: ST Johnstone 7th (14 points), Motherwell 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Johnstone 3W 3D 4L (11:15), Motherwell 2W 2D 6L (11:18).
- H2H: 58 matches: ST Johnstone 25W 11D 22L, goals 78–82.
- Absences: ST Johnstone 0, Motherwell 0.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: who is missing
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
Motherwell
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Johnstone
Home and away
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, ST Johnstone are 7th with 14 points after 12 matches (3W 5D 4L), whereas Motherwell are 9th with 12 points (3W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. ST Johnstone have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Motherwell average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ST Johnstone: 3W 3D 4L, goals 11–15; Motherwell: 2W 2D 6L, goals 11–18.
- Head to head. In their 58 meetings so far, ST Johnstone have 25 wins, Motherwell have 22 wins and 11 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 78–82.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 58; ST Johnstone 25 wins, 11 draws, Motherwell 22 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: ST Johnstone 11–15, Motherwell 11–18.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: ST Johnstone 0, Motherwell 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
ST Johnstone are missing: no absences. Motherwell are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ST JohnstoneDDLDWMotherwellWDLLLST Johnstone vs Motherwell: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: questions and answers
What is the best tip for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
Our result tip is ST Johnstone or draw (1X) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.70). The safer pick is ST Johnstone or draw (1X).
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
Our probabilities: ST Johnstone to win 38%, a draw 28%, Motherwell to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at McDiarmid Park, Perth.
Who will be missing?
ST Johnstone: no absences. Motherwell: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.86); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 1–0 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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