Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Malmö FF v Hammarby FF is on 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Eleda Stadion (Malmö); Mohammed Al-Hakim takes charge. We think Hammarby FF (59%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.16 | 4.60 | 1.64 |
| Market average | 4.80 | 4.29 | 1.58 |
| Lowest odds | 4.21 | 3.86 | 1.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.39 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.78 | 33.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.03 | 46.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.50 | 36.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 12:06. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Malmö FF 1–2 Hammarby FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Malmö FF 7th (40 points), Hammarby FF 1st (55 points).
- Form in the competition: Malmö FF 12W 4D 10L (41:34), Hammarby FF 16W 4D 6L (54:21).
- H2H: 22 matches: Malmö FF 10W 6D 6L, goals 41–30.
- Absences: Malmö FF 8, Hammarby FF 3.
Who will win Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: who is missing
Malmö FF
- I. Assibunot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Busuladzicinjury · will miss the match
- A. Hoognot in the squad · will miss the match
- P. Janssonknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Johnnot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. Kamanzimuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Lundberghabsence · will miss the match
- O. Sjostrandknee injury · will miss the match
Hammarby FF
- A. Boudrinot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Fofanared card · will miss the match
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Malmö FF
Home and away
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Malmö FF are 7th with 40 points after 27 matches (12W 4D 11L), whereas Hammarby FF are 1st with 55 points (17W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Malmö FF have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Hammarby FF average 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Malmö FF: 12W 4D 10L, goals 41–34; Hammarby FF: 16W 4D 6L, goals 54–21.
- Head to head. In their 22 meetings so far, Malmö FF have 10 wins, Hammarby FF have 6 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 41–30.
What to expect
Hammarby FF should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 22; Malmö FF 10 wins, 6 draws, Hammarby FF 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Malmö FF 41–34, Hammarby FF 54–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: Malmö FF 8, Hammarby FF 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Malmö FF are missing: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, T. Lundbergh, O. Sjostrand. Hammarby FF are without: A. Boudri, I. Fofana, B. Hedlof. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Malmö FFLWDLWHammarby FFWWWWLMalmö FF vs Hammarby FF: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
Our result tip is Hammarby FF to win (odds 1.64), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Hammarby FF (X2).
Who will win Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
Our probabilities: Malmö FF to win 19%, a draw 22%, Hammarby FF to win 59%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Eleda Stadion, Malmö. Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim.
Who will be missing?
Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, T. Lundbergh, O. Sjostrand. Hammarby FF: A. Boudri, I. Fofana, B. Hedlof. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.6%); after that come 1–1 (8.7%) and 0–2 (7.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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