Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Malmö FF meet BK Häcken on 18 October 2026 · 15:30 at Eleda Stadion (Malmö), refereed by Glenn Nyberg, Sweden. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.71 | 3.76 | 2.46 |
| Market average | 2.61 | 3.60 | 2.43 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.14 | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.56 | 1.54 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.39 | 39.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.25 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.46 | 1.45 | 63.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.62 | 2.57 | 36.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:05. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Malmö FF 1–1 BK Häcken, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Malmö FF 7th (40 points), BK Häcken 4th (49 points).
- H2H: 23 matches: Malmö FF 8W 9D 6L, goals 40–28.
- Absences: Malmö FF 0, BK Häcken 0.
Who will win Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: who is missing
Malmö FF
- No reported absences
BK Häcken
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 | BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Malmö FF
Home and away
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Malmö FF are 7th with 40 points after 27 matches (12W 4D 11L), whereas BK Häcken are 4th with 49 points (13W 10D 4L).
- Head to head. In their 23 meetings so far, Malmö FF have 8 wins, BK Häcken have 6 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 40–28.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.46), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 23; Malmö FF 8 wins, 9 draws, BK Häcken 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Malmö FF 0, BK Häcken 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, best available odds 1.56). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Malmö FF are missing: no absences. BK Häcken are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: head to head
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Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?
Our result tip is Draw or BK Häcken (X2) (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.46). The safer pick is Draw or BK Häcken (X2).
Who will win Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?
Our probabilities: Malmö FF to win 36%, a draw 26%, BK Häcken to win 38%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Eleda Stadion, Malmö. Referee: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
Malmö FF: no absences. BK Häcken: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.56); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.46).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 1–2 (8.5%) and 2–1 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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