Bet with MINO CASINO →Hammarby FF v IF Elfsborg is on 6 November 2026 · 18:00 at 3Arena (Stockholm). We think Hammarby FF (66%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Hammarby FF are 1st with 55 points after 27 matches (17W 4D 6L), whereas IF Elfsborg are 5th with 46 points (12W 10D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Hammarby FF have scored 2.1 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; IF Elfsborg average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Hammarby FF: 17W 4D 6L, goals 56–22; IF Elfsborg: 12W 10D 5L, goals 41–27.
- Head to head. In their 22 meetings so far, Hammarby FF have 9 wins, IF Elfsborg have 7 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 33–29.
What to expect
Hammarby FF should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 22; Hammarby FF 9 wins, 6 draws, IF Elfsborg 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Hammarby FF 56–22, IF Elfsborg 41–27.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Hammarby FF 0, IF Elfsborg 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Hammarby FF are missing: no absences. IF Elfsborg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.43 | 4.92 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.41 | 4.69 | 6.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.39 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.55 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.36 | 39.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.44 | 2.35 | 39.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.73 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.99 | 46.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:02. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hammarby FF 2–0 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hammarby FF 1st (55 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
- Form in the competition: Hammarby FF 17W 4D 6L (56:22), IF Elfsborg 12W 10D 5L (41:27).
- H2H: 22 matches: Hammarby FF 9W 6D 7L, goals 33–29.
- Absences: Hammarby FF 0, IF Elfsborg 0.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: who is missing
Hammarby FF
- No reported absences
IF Elfsborg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Hammarby FF
Home and away
Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Hammarby FFWWWWLIF ElfsborgWDDDWHammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?
IF Elfsborg +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our probabilities: Hammarby FF to win 66%, a draw 20%, IF Elfsborg to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at 3Arena, Stockholm.
Who will be missing?
Hammarby FF: no absences. IF Elfsborg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.78).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.9%); after that come 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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