Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Mjällby AIF v Hammarby FF is on 25 October 2026 · 15:30 at Strandvallen (Hällevik); Victor Wolf takes charge. We think Hammarby FF (66%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Mjällby AIF are 12th with 27 points after 27 matches (6W 9D 12L), whereas Hammarby FF are 1st with 55 points (17W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Mjällby AIF have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Hammarby FF average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Mjällby AIF: 5W 8D 11L, goals 28–40; Hammarby FF: 14W 4D 6L, goals 50–21.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Mjällby AIF have 7 wins, Hammarby FF have 8 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 18–27.
What to expect
Hammarby FF should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.58), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Mjällby AIF 7 wins, 2 draws, Hammarby FF 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Mjällby AIF 28–40, Hammarby FF 50–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Mjällby AIF are missing: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Hammarby FF are without: B. Hedlof. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.99 | 4.83 | 1.45 |
| Market average | 6.58 | 4.64 | 1.42 |
| Lowest odds | 6.45 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.58 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.37 | 39.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.36 | 39.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Mjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Mjällby AIF 12th (27 points), Hammarby FF 1st (55 points).
- Form in the competition: Mjällby AIF 5W 8D 11L (28:40), Hammarby FF 14W 4D 6L (50:21).
- H2H: 17 matches: Mjällby AIF 7W 2D 8L, goals 18–27.
- Absences: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.
Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: who is missing
Mjällby AIF
- V. Dalsgaardinjury · will miss the match
- M. Isakssonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Stavitskiback injury · will miss the match
- L. Tidstrandabsence · will miss the match
Hammarby FF
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Mjällby AIF
Home and away
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Mjällby AIFDWLLDHammarby FFWWWWLMjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Our result tip is Hammarby FF to win (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.58). The safer pick is Draw or Hammarby FF (X2).
Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Our probabilities: Mjällby AIF to win 14%, a draw 20%, Hammarby FF to win 66%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Strandvallen, Hällevik. Referee: Victor Wolf.
Who will be missing?
Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.58); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (10.4%); after that come 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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