Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hammarby FF are at home to Sirius on 29 October 2026 · 17:30 at 3Arena (Stockholm), with Glenn Nyberg as the referee. Our favourites are Hammarby FF (65%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Hammarby FF are 1st with 55 points after 27 matches (17W 4D 6L), whereas Sirius are 2nd with 55 points (17W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Hammarby FF have scored 2.1 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Sirius average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Hammarby FF: 15W 4D 6L, goals 52–21; Sirius: 17W 4D 4L, goals 56–32.
- Head to head. In their 26 meetings so far, Hammarby FF have 16 wins, Sirius have 3 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 53–28.
What to expect
Hammarby FF should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 26; Hammarby FF 16 wins, 7 draws, Sirius 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Hammarby FF 52–21, Sirius 56–32.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Hammarby FF 1, Sirius 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Hammarby FF are missing: B. Hedlof. Sirius are without: O. Liimatta. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.47 | 5.01 | 6.49 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.65 | 6.12 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.39 | 5.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.42 | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.27 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.13 | 43.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 16:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hammarby FF 2–1 Sirius, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hammarby FF 1st (55 points), Sirius 2nd (55 points).
- Form in the competition: Hammarby FF 15W 4D 6L (52:21), Sirius 17W 4D 4L (56:32).
- H2H: 26 matches: Hammarby FF 16W 7D 3L, goals 53–28.
- Absences: Hammarby FF 1, Sirius 1.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: who is missing
Hammarby FF
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Sirius
- O. Liimattainjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 | Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Hammarby FF
Home and away
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Hammarby FFWWWWLSiriusLLDWWHammarby FF vs Sirius: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
Sirius +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
Our probabilities: Hammarby FF to win 65%, a draw 20%, Sirius to win 15%.
What time and where is kick-off?
29 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at 3Arena, Stockholm. Referee: Glenn Nyberg.
Who will be missing?
Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Sirius: O. Liimatta. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.53); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.54).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 2–0 (9.9%) and 1–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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