IFK Göteborg v Malmö FF is on 8 November 2026 · 13:00 at Gamla Ullevi (Gothenburg). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, IFK Göteborg are 9th with 38 points after 27 matches (10W 8D 9L), whereas Malmö FF are 7th with 40 points (12W 4D 11L).
- Attack and defence. IFK Göteborg have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Malmö FF average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. IFK Göteborg: 10W 8D 9L, goals 36–46; Malmö FF: 12W 4D 11L, goals 42–36.
- Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, IFK Göteborg have 6 wins, Malmö FF have 13 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 21–42.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 24; IFK Göteborg 6 wins, 5 draws, Malmö FF 13 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: IFK Göteborg 36–46, Malmö FF 42–36.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: IFK Göteborg 0, Malmö FF 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
IFK Göteborg are missing: no absences. Malmö FF are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.40 | 3.51 | 2.82 |
| Market average | 2.35 | 3.48 | 2.77 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.64 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.19 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.51 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.38 | 38.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:02. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: IFK Göteborg 1–1 Malmö FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: IFK Göteborg 9th (38 points), Malmö FF 7th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: IFK Göteborg 10W 8D 9L (36:46), Malmö FF 12W 4D 11L (42:36).
- H2H: 24 matches: IFK Göteborg 6W 5D 13L, goals 21–42.
- Absences: IFK Göteborg 0, Malmö FF 0.
Who will win IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF: who is missing
IFK Göteborg
- No reported absences
Malmö FF
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 | |
| 2 | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 | |
| 3 | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 | |
| 4 | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 | |
| 5 | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 | |
| 6 | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 | |
| 7 | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 | |
| 8 | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 | |
| 9 | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 | |
| 10 | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 | |
| 11 | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 | |
| 12 | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 | |
| 13 | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 | |
| 14 | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 | |
| 15 | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 | |
| 16 | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
IFK Göteborg
Home and away
IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF: questions and answers
What is the best tip for IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF?
Our result tip is IFK Göteborg or draw (1X) (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is IFK Göteborg or draw (1X).
Who will win IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF?
Our probabilities: IFK Göteborg to win 40%, a draw 27%, Malmö FF to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg.
Who will be missing?
IFK Göteborg: no absences. Malmö FF: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–0 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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