Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Halmstad v Malmö FF is on 28 October 2026 · 18:00 at Örjans Vall (Halmstad); Kristoffer Karlsson takes charge. We think Malmö FF (57%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.75 | 4.38 | 1.68 |
| Market average | 4.59 | 4.11 | 1.67 |
| Lowest odds | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.58 | 59.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.46 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.18 | 42.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Halmstad 1–1 Malmö FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Halmstad 16th (17 points), Malmö FF 7th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Halmstad 4W 5D 16L (18:46), Malmö FF 11W 4D 10L (38:34).
- H2H: 15 matches: Halmstad 0W 2D 13L, goals 5–40.
- Absences: Halmstad 0, Malmö FF 7.
Who will win Halmstad vs Malmö FF?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: who is missing
Halmstad
- No reported absences
Malmö FF
- I. Assibunot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Busuladzicinjury · will miss the match
- A. Hoognot in the squad · will miss the match
- P. Janssonknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Johnnot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. Kamanzimuscle injury · will miss the match
- O. Sjostrandknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Halmstad
Home and away
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Halmstad are 16th with 17 points after 26 matches (4W 5D 17L), whereas Malmö FF are 7th with 40 points (12W 4D 11L).
- Attack and defence. Halmstad have scored 0.7 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Malmö FF average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Halmstad: 4W 5D 16L, goals 18–46; Malmö FF: 11W 4D 10L, goals 38–34.
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, Halmstad have 0 wins, Malmö FF have 13 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–40.
What to expect
Malmö FF should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; Halmstad 0 wins, 2 draws, Malmö FF 13 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Halmstad 18–46, Malmö FF 38–34.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Halmstad 0, Malmö FF 7.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.61). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Halmstad are missing: no absences. Malmö FF are without: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, O. Sjostrand. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
HalmstadLWLLWMalmö FFLWDLWHalmstad vs Malmö FF: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Halmstad vs Malmö FF?
Our result tip is Malmö FF to win (odds 1.68), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Draw or Malmö FF (X2).
Who will win Halmstad vs Malmö FF?
Our probabilities: Halmstad to win 21%, a draw 23%, Malmö FF to win 57%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Örjans Vall, Halmstad. Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson.
Who will be missing?
Halmstad: no absences. Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, O. Sjostrand. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.61); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.2%); after that come 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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