Bet with MINO CASINO →Liverpool v Manchester United is on 22 November 2026 · 16:30 at Anfield (Liverpool). We think Liverpool (53%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.85 | 4.11 | 4.33 |
| Market average | 1.80 | 3.94 | 4.23 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.69 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.14 | 44.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.69 | 35.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.16 | 42.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 5th (15 points), Manchester United 17th (7 points).
- Absences: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Liverpool vs Manchester United: who is missing
Liverpool
- No reported absences
Manchester United
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Liverpool vs Manchester United: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Liverpool are 5th with 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L), whereas Manchester United are 17th with 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
What to expect
Liverpool should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Liverpool are missing: no absences. Manchester United are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Liverpool vs Manchester United: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Liverpool vs Manchester United?
Our result tip is Liverpool to win (odds 1.85), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Liverpool or draw (1X).
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
Our probabilities: Liverpool to win 53%, a draw 24%, Manchester United to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 November 2026, kick-off at 16:30, at Anfield, Liverpool.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.75); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.26).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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