Bet with MINO CASINO →Fulham are at home to Newcastle on 7 November 2026 · 15:00 at Craven Cottage (London). Our favourites are Fulham (46%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Fulham vs Newcastle: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Fulham are 15th with 9 points after 9 matches (2W 3D 4L), whereas Newcastle are 13th with 11 points (3W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Fulham have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Newcastle average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Fulham: 2W 3D 4L, goals 9–11; Newcastle: 3W 2D 4L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, Fulham have 9 wins, Newcastle have 12 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 25–32.
What to expect
Fulham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 24; Fulham 9 wins, 3 draws, Newcastle 12 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Fulham 9–11, Newcastle 12–15.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Fulham 0, Newcastle 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Fulham are missing: no absences. Newcastle are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Fulham vs Newcastle: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.16 | 3.88 | 3.60 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.32 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.26 | 3.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.65 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.25 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.56 | 36.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 60.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.34 | 39.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Fulham 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fulham 15th (9 points), Newcastle 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Fulham 2W 3D 4L (9:11), Newcastle 3W 2D 4L (12:15).
- H2H: 24 matches: Fulham 9W 3D 12L, goals 25–32.
- Absences: Fulham 0, Newcastle 0.
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Fulham vs Newcastle: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Fulham vs Newcastle: who is missing
Fulham
- No reported absences
Newcastle
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Fulham vs Newcastle: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Fulham
Home and away
Fulham vs Newcastle: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FulhamDWWLDNewcastleLWLLWFulham vs Newcastle: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Fulham vs Newcastle: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Fulham -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?
Our probabilities: Fulham to win 46%, a draw 26%, Newcastle to win 28%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Craven Cottage, London.
Who will be missing?
Fulham: no absences. Newcastle: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.71); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.0%); after that come 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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