Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Brentford meet Liverpool on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Gtech Community Stadium (London), refereed by John Brooks, England. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Brentford vs Liverpool: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Brentford are 6th with 14 points after 9 matches (3W 5D 1L), whereas Liverpool are 5th with 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Brentford 0, Liverpool 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Liverpool (X2)
Alternative pick: Draw or Liverpool (X2) (probability 65%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Brentford are missing: no absences. Liverpool are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Brentford vs Liverpool: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.81 | 3.76 | 2.56 |
| Market average | 2.69 | 3.65 | 2.46 |
| Lowest odds | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.58 | 1.56 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.38 | 39.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.35 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 63.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.64 | 2.54 | 36.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 13:52. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Brentford 1–1 Liverpool, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Brentford 6th (14 points), Liverpool 5th (15 points).
- Absences: Brentford 0, Liverpool 0.
Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Brentford vs Liverpool: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Brentford vs Liverpool: who is missing
Brentford
- No reported absences
Liverpool
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Brentford vs Liverpool: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
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Brentford vs Liverpool: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Brentford vs Liverpool?
Our result tip is Draw or Liverpool (X2) (odds 1.57), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Liverpool (X2).
Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?
Our probabilities: Brentford to win 35%, a draw 26%, Liverpool to win 39%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Gtech Community Stadium, London. Referee: John Brooks, England.
Who will be missing?
Brentford: no absences. Liverpool: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.58); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.49).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (8.6%) and 2–1 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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