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Premier League · Matchweek 7 · 17 October 2026 · 15:00

Brentford vs Liverpool: tip, odds and prediction – 17 October 2026, Premier League

1–2
1Brentford2.81
XDraw3.76
2Liverpool2.56

Best available odds · Updated 17/10/26, 13:52

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Brentford meet Liverpool on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Gtech Community Stadium (London), refereed by John Brooks, England. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Brentford vs Liverpool: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Liverpool (X2)
1.57
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
65%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Brentford vs Liverpool: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Brentford are 6th with 14 points after 9 matches (3W 5D 1L), whereas Liverpool are 5th with 15 points (4W 3D 2L).

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
  2. Absent: Brentford 0, Liverpool 0.

Alternative tip: Draw or Liverpool (X2)

Alternative pick: Draw or Liverpool (X2) (probability 65%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Brentford are missing: no absences. Liverpool are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Brentford vs Liverpool: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.813.762.56
Market average2.693.652.46
Lowest odds2.603.402.38
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1581.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.581.5660.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.492.3839.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.402.3540.4%
BTTS – yes1.501.4863.3%
BTTS – no2.642.5436.7%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 13:52. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Brentford 1–1 Liverpool, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Brentford 6th (14 points), Liverpool 5th (15 points).
  • Absences: Brentford 0, Liverpool 0.

Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?

Brentford35%
Draw26%
Liverpool39%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Brentford vs Liverpool: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.1% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.17
Likely
Draw or Liverpool (X2)64.7% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.57
Likely
Both sides to score: yes63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.4% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.58
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.6% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.63
Possible
Over 3.5 goals40.4% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.6% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.49
Outsider
Liverpool to win38.7% · fair odds 2.59 · best 2.56
Outsider
Both sides to score: no36.7% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.64
Outsider
Brentford to win35.3% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.81
Outsider
Draw26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.76
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.73
probability of over 45.8%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.98 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.8%
1 : 28.6%
2 : 18.1%
0 : 17.2%
1 : 06.8%
2 : 26.5%

Brentford vs Liverpool: who is missing

Brentford

  • No reported absences

Liverpool

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Brentford vs Liverpool: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Everton93-4-29:913
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Brentford

31 OctWBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
25 OctDHull City 1–1 Brentford
17 OctLBrentford 1–2 Liverpool
10 OctDAston Villa 2–2 Brentford
18 SeptWBrentford 3–0 Chelsea

Liverpool

1 NovLLiverpool 0–1 Arsenal
25 OctWLiverpool 2–0 Brighton
20 OctWLiverpool 4–3 Villarreal
17 OctWBrentford 1–2 Liverpool
14 OctWLask Linz 3–6 Liverpool

Home and away

Brentford at home5 matches: 3W 1D 1L, goals 10–3
Liverpool away4 matches: 3W 1D 0L, goals 7–3

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.3%

Brentford vs Liverpool: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Brentford vs Liverpool?

Our result tip is Draw or Liverpool (X2) (odds 1.57), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Liverpool (X2).

Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?

Our probabilities: Brentford to win 35%, a draw 26%, Liverpool to win 39%.

What time and where is kick-off?

17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Gtech Community Stadium, London. Referee: John Brooks, England.

Who will be missing?

Brentford: no absences. Liverpool: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.58); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.49).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (8.6%) and 2–1 (8.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

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