Bet with MINO CASINO →Nottingham Forest v Manchester City is on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at City Ground (Nottingham). We think Manchester City (55%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.60 | 4.26 | 1.78 |
| Market average | 4.45 | 4.00 | 1.71 |
| Lowest odds | 3.97 | 3.53 | 1.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.64 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.27 | 41.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 37.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.22 | 42.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Manchester City, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points), Manchester City 2nd (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Nottingham Forest 1W 3D 5L (6:12), Manchester City 7W 0D 2L (20:10).
- H2H: 9 matches: Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 6L, goals 5–20.
- Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Manchester City 0.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: who is missing
Nottingham Forest
- No reported absences
Manchester City
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Nottingham Forest
Home and away
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Nottingham Forest are 19th with 6 points after 9 matches (1W 3D 5L), whereas Manchester City are 2nd with 21 points (7W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Nottingham Forest have scored 0.7 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Manchester City average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Nottingham Forest: 1W 3D 5L, goals 6–12; Manchester City: 7W 0D 2L, goals 20–10.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Nottingham Forest have 1 win, Manchester City have 6 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–20.
What to expect
Manchester City should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Nottingham Forest 1 win, 2 draws, Manchester City 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Nottingham Forest 6–12, Manchester City 20–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Nottingham Forest 0, Manchester City 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Nottingham Forest are missing: no absences. Manchester City are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Nottingham ForestLDLLLManchester CityLLWWWNottingham Forest vs Manchester City: head to head
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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Our result tip is Manchester City to win (odds 1.78), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Manchester City (X2).
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Our probabilities: Nottingham Forest to win 21%, a draw 24%, Manchester City to win 55%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at City Ground, Nottingham.
Who will be missing?
Nottingham Forest: no absences. Manchester City: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.70); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.65).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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