Bet with MINO CASINO →Groningen are at home to Heerenveen on 21 November 2026 · 20:00 at Euroborg (Groningen). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Groningen are 8th with 15 points after 11 matches (4W 3D 4L), whereas Heerenveen are 7th with 18 points (5W 3D 3L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 67%. We estimate both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: Groningen 0, Heerenveen 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, best available odds 1.81). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Groningen are missing: no absences. Heerenveen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.22 | 3.98 | 2.95 |
| Market average | 2.17 | 3.85 | 2.89 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.41 | 66.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.81 | 33.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 46.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.90 | 2.83 | 32.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Groningen 1–1 Heerenveen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Groningen 8th (15 points), Heerenveen 7th (18 points).
- Absences: Groningen 0, Heerenveen 0.
Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Groningen vs Heerenveen: who is missing
Groningen
- No reported absences
Heerenveen
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
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Groningen vs Heerenveen: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Groningen +0 (Asian handicap) (1.69); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Our probabilities: Groningen to win 43%, a draw 24%, Heerenveen to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Euroborg, Groningen.
Who will be missing?
Groningen: no absences. Heerenveen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.45); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 67% probability (odds 1.40).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–2 (7.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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