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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: tip, odds and prediction – 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1FC Thun2.42
XDraw3.70
2Heart Of Midlothian2.90

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:30

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FC Thun are at home to Heart Of Midlothian on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Stockhorn Arena (Thun). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
FC Thun or draw (1X)
1.45
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
66%chance of the result
61%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.423.702.90
Market average2.343.542.76
Lowest odds2.213.322.52
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1481.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5261.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.502.4238.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.352.2841.3%
BTTS – yes1.441.4364.8%
BTTS – no2.702.6335.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: FC Thun 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Thun 32nd (0 points), Heart Of Midlothian 28th (1 point).
  • Form in the competition: FC Thun 0W 0D 2L (0:2), Heart Of Midlothian 1W 2D 1L (6:7).
  • Absences: FC Thun 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Who will win FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

FC Thun40%
Draw26%
Heart Of Midlothian34%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.5% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
FC Thun or draw (1X)66.2% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.45
Likely
Both sides to score: yes64.8% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.4% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.7% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.35
Outsider
FC Thun to win39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.42
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.6% · fair odds 2.59 · best 2.50
Outsider
Both sides to score: no35.2% · fair odds 2.84 · best 2.70
Outsider
Heart Of Midlothian to win33.8% · fair odds 2.96 · best 2.90
Outsider
Draw26.4% · fair odds 3.79 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.00
probability of over 53.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.6%
2 : 18.7%
1 : 28.0%
1 : 07.1%
2 : 26.6%
0 : 16.4%

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: who is missing

FC Thun

  • No reported absences

Heart Of Midlothian

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

FC Thun

22 OctLFC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split
15 OctLTwente 1–0 FC Thun

Heart Of Midlothian

28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
25 OctWMotherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLTrabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
18 OctLCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

Home and away

FC Thun at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–1
Heart Of Midlothian away1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–2

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, FC Thun are 32nd with 0 points after 2 matches (0W 0D 2L), whereas Heart Of Midlothian are 28th with 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. FC Thun have scored 0.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Heart Of Midlothian average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. FC Thun: 0W 0D 2L, goals 0–2; Heart Of Midlothian: 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–7.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FC Thun 0–2, Heart Of Midlothian 6–7.
  2. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
  3. Absent: FC Thun 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

FC Thun are missing: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: team stats compared

FC ThunHeart Of Midlothian
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
78%Defence22%
78.0%Overall22.0%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

FC ThunLL
Heart Of MidlothianLD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: questions and answers

What is the best tip for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our result tip is FC Thun or draw (1X) (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is FC Thun or draw (1X).

Who will win FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our probabilities: FC Thun to win 40%, a draw 26%, Heart Of Midlothian to win 34%.

What time and where is kick-off?

5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Stockhorn Arena, Thun.

Who will be missing?

FC Thun: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.50).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.44).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–2 (8.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.