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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 11 · 28 October 2026 · 20:00

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: tip, odds and prediction – 28 October 2026, Scottish Premiership

1Heart Of Midlothian3.99
XDraw3.91
2Rangers1.89

Best available odds · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Heart Of Midlothian v Rangers is on 28 October 2026 · 20:00 at Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh). We think Rangers (51%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: tip and prediction
Result
Rangers to win
1.89
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.54
Combo
Rangers plus over 2.5 goals
2.91
34% · combo fair price
51%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Rangers (X2) – 76% probability, top odds 1.25.

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Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd with 20 points after 11 matches (6W 2D 3L), whereas Rangers are 2nd with 24 points (7W 3D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Heart Of Midlothian have scored 2.2 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Rangers average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Heart Of Midlothian: 6W 1D 3L, goals 22–15; Rangers: 7W 2D 1L, goals 17–7.
  4. Head to head. In their 52 meetings so far, Heart Of Midlothian have 11 wins, Rangers have 32 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 48–103.

What to expect

Rangers should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 52; Heart Of Midlothian 11 wins, 9 draws, Rangers 32 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Heart Of Midlothian 22–15, Rangers 17–7.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
  5. Absent: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Rangers 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Heart Of Midlothian are missing: no absences. Rangers are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.993.911.89
Market average3.873.791.87
Lowest odds3.723.721.85
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1879.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.6159.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.372.3241.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.592.4738.0%
BTTS – yes1.571.5559.7%
BTTS – no2.332.2940.3%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Rangers, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points), Rangers 2nd (24 points).
  • Form in the competition: Heart Of Midlothian 6W 1D 3L (22:15), Rangers 7W 2D 1L (17:7).
  • H2H: 52 matches: Heart Of Midlothian 11W 9D 32L, goals 48–103.
  • Absences: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Rangers 0.

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Heart Of Midlothian24%
Draw25%
Rangers51%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.6% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Rangers (X2)75.6% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.54
Likely
Both sides to score: yes59.7% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Possible
Over 2.5 goals59.0% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.63
Possible
Rangers to win50.6% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.89
Possible
Under 2.5 goals41.0% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.37
Outsider
Both sides to score: no40.3% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.33
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.59
Outsider
Draw24.9% · fair odds 4.01 · best 3.91
Outsider
Heart Of Midlothian to win24.4% · fair odds 4.09 · best 3.99
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.8%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 19.0%
0 : 28.1%
2 : 16.5%
1 : 06.0%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: who is missing

Heart Of Midlothian

  • No reported absences

Rangers

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee Utd114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Heart Of Midlothian

28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
25 OctWMotherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLTrabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
18 OctLCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

Rangers

28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
24 OctWRangers 4–0 ST Johnstone
17 OctDDundee 2–2 Rangers
10 OctWRangers 3–1 Kilmarnock
20 SeptWCeltic 0–1 Rangers

Home and away

Heart Of Midlothian at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 15–4
Rangers away6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 9–6

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: team stats compared

Heart Of MidlothianRangers
35%Form65%
48%Attack52%
23%Defence77%
60%Head to head40%
50%Goals50%
48.8%Overall51.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Heart Of MidlothianDWLWD
RangersDWDWW

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: head to head

All matches
11Heart Of Midlothian
9Draws
32Rangers
28/10/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
4/5/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Rangers
15/2/26 · Rangers 4–2 Heart Of Midlothian
21/12/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Rangers
13/9/25 · Rangers 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
16/2/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–3 Rangers

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Our result tip is Rangers to win (odds 1.89), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54). The safer pick is Draw or Rangers (X2).

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Our probabilities: Heart Of Midlothian to win 24%, a draw 25%, Rangers to win 51%.

What time and where is kick-off?

28 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.

Who will be missing?

Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Rangers: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.63); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.37).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (9.7%) and 0–1 (9.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee Utd vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.