Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Heart Of Midlothian v Rangers is on 28 October 2026 · 20:00 at Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh). We think Rangers (51%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd with 20 points after 11 matches (6W 2D 3L), whereas Rangers are 2nd with 24 points (7W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Heart Of Midlothian have scored 2.2 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Rangers average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Heart Of Midlothian: 6W 1D 3L, goals 22–15; Rangers: 7W 2D 1L, goals 17–7.
- Head to head. In their 52 meetings so far, Heart Of Midlothian have 11 wins, Rangers have 32 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 48–103.
What to expect
Rangers should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 52; Heart Of Midlothian 11 wins, 9 draws, Rangers 32 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Heart Of Midlothian 22–15, Rangers 17–7.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Rangers 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Heart Of Midlothian are missing: no absences. Rangers are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.99 | 3.91 | 1.89 |
| Market average | 3.87 | 3.79 | 1.87 |
| Lowest odds | 3.72 | 3.72 | 1.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.61 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.32 | 41.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.59 | 2.47 | 38.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.33 | 2.29 | 40.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Rangers, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points), Rangers 2nd (24 points).
- Form in the competition: Heart Of Midlothian 6W 1D 3L (22:15), Rangers 7W 2D 1L (17:7).
- H2H: 52 matches: Heart Of Midlothian 11W 9D 32L, goals 48–103.
- Absences: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Rangers 0.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: who is missing
Heart Of Midlothian
- No reported absences
Rangers
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 | |
| 11 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 | |
| 12 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Heart Of Midlothian
Home and away
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
Our result tip is Rangers to win (odds 1.89), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54). The safer pick is Draw or Rangers (X2).
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
Our probabilities: Heart Of Midlothian to win 24%, a draw 25%, Rangers to win 51%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.
Who will be missing?
Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Rangers: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.63); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (9.7%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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