Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Thun are at home to HNK Hajduk Split on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stockhorn Arena (Thun), with J. Gillett as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Thun are 32nd with 0 points after 2 matches (0W 0D 2L), whereas HNK Hajduk Split are 8th with 6 points (2W 0D 0L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: FC Thun 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 63%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Thun are missing: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.88 | 3.90 | 2.37 |
| Market average | 2.78 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.63 | 3.47 | 2.16 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.51 | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.24 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Thun 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Thun 32nd (0 points), HNK Hajduk Split 8th (6 points).
- Absences: FC Thun 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Who will win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: who is missing
FC Thun
- No reported absences
HNK Hajduk Split
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
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FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Over 2.5 goals (1.55); Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2) (1.47).
Who will win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our probabilities: FC Thun to win 34%, a draw 25%, HNK Hajduk Split to win 41%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stockhorn Arena, Thun. Referee: J. Gillett.
Who will be missing?
FC Thun: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.45).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.2%); after that come 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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