Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland meet St. Truiden on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at MCH Arena (Herning), refereed by J. Xhaja. FC Midtjylland (53%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Midtjylland are 25th with 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), whereas St. Truiden are 7th with 6 points (2W 0D 0L).
What to expect
FC Midtjylland should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the St. Truiden are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: FC Midtjylland 0, St. Truiden 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Midtjylland are missing: no absences. St. Truiden are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.84 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Market average | 1.76 | 3.94 | 4.14 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 3.75 | 3.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.48 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.26 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Midtjylland 1–1 St. Truiden, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Midtjylland 25th (1 point), St. Truiden 7th (6 points).
- Absences: FC Midtjylland 0, St. Truiden 0.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: who is missing
FC Midtjylland
- No reported absences
St. Truiden
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
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FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
St. Truiden +0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.03); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
Our probabilities: FC Midtjylland to win 53%, a draw 24%, St. Truiden to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at MCH Arena, Herning. Referee: J. Xhaja.
Who will be missing?
FC Midtjylland: no absences. St. Truiden: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.9%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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