Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland meet Lyngby on 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at MCH Arena (Herning), refereed by Jakob Kehlet. FC Midtjylland (67%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.44 | 5.38 | 6.84 |
| Market average | 1.40 | 5.07 | 6.32 |
| Lowest odds | 1.33 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.38 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.91 | 32.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 1.98 | 47.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:53. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Midtjylland 2–1 Lyngby, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Midtjylland 1st (31 points), Lyngby 11th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Midtjylland 7W 4D 0L (21:11), Lyngby 1W 5D 5L (15:24).
- H2H: 23 matches: FC Midtjylland 10W 6D 7L, goals 33–33.
- Absences: FC Midtjylland 6, Lyngby 2.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: who is missing
FC Midtjylland
- D. Castillonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Erlicfoot injury · will miss the match
- M. Gogorzahip injury · will miss the match
- M. Jensenfoot injury · will miss the match
- Junior Brumadoknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Olafssonillness · will miss the match
Lyngby
- O. Snorreknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Thorvaldssonabsence · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 | |
| 6 | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 | |
| 7 | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 | |
| 8 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 | |
| 9 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 | |
| 10 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 | |
| 11 | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 | |
| 12 | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
FC Midtjylland
Home and away
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Midtjylland are 1st with 31 points after 13 matches (9W 4D 0L), whereas Lyngby are 11th with 11 points (2W 5D 6L).
- Attack and defence. FC Midtjylland have scored 1.9 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Lyngby average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Midtjylland: 7W 4D 0L, goals 21–11; Lyngby: 1W 5D 5L, goals 15–24.
- Head to head. In their 23 meetings so far, FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, Lyngby have 7 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 33–33.
What to expect
FC Midtjylland should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 60%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 23; FC Midtjylland 10 wins, 6 draws, Lyngby 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FC Midtjylland 21–11, Lyngby 15–24.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Absent: FC Midtjylland 6, Lyngby 2.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Midtjylland are missing: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson. Lyngby are without: O. Snorre, I. Thorvaldsson. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
Our result tip is FC Midtjylland to win (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is FC Midtjylland or draw (1X).
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
Our probabilities: FC Midtjylland to win 67%, a draw 18%, Lyngby to win 15%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at MCH Arena, Herning. Referee: Jakob Kehlet.
Who will be missing?
FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson. Lyngby: O. Snorre, I. Thorvaldsson. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 68% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.6%); after that come 2–0 (9.1%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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