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Jupiler Pro League · Matchweek 10 · 1 November 2026 · 15:00

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: tip, odds and prediction – 1 November 2026, Jupiler Pro League

1–2
1St. Truiden1.72
XDraw4.30
2OH Leuven4.95

Best available odds · Updated 1/11/26, 13:16

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

St. Truiden v OH Leuven is on 1 November 2026 · 15:00 at Stayen (Sint- Truiden); Michiel Allaerts, Belgium takes charge. We think St. Truiden (56%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: tip and prediction
Result
St. Truiden to win
1.72
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
Combo
St. Truiden plus over 2.5 goals
2.66
38% · combo fair price
56%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: St. Truiden or draw (1X) – 79% probability, top odds 1.23.

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St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, St. Truiden are 15th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas OH Leuven are 13th with 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. St. Truiden have scored 1.9 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; OH Leuven average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. St. Truiden: 2W 2D 5L, goals 17–19; OH Leuven: 1W 3D 5L, goals 8–16.
  4. Head to head. In their 19 meetings so far, St. Truiden have 7 wins, OH Leuven have 6 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 25–27.

What to expect

St. Truiden should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 19; St. Truiden 7 wins, 6 draws, OH Leuven 6 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: St. Truiden 17–19, OH Leuven 8–16.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
  5. Absent: St. Truiden 0, OH Leuven 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.68). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

St. Truiden are missing: no absences. OH Leuven are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.724.304.95
Market average1.674.024.55
Lowest odds1.623.604.11
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1879.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.6258.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2541.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.652.5436.9%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.2%
BTTS – no2.252.1642.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 13:16. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: St. Truiden 1–1 OH Leuven, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: St. Truiden 15th (8 points), OH Leuven 13th (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: St. Truiden 2W 2D 5L (17:19), OH Leuven 1W 3D 5L (8:16).
  • H2H: 19 matches: St. Truiden 7W 6D 6L, goals 25–27.
  • Absences: St. Truiden 0, OH Leuven 0.

Who will win St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?

St. Truiden56%
Draw23%
OH Leuven21%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
St. Truiden or draw (1X)79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.23
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.1% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.68
Possible
Both sides to score: yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
St. Truiden to win56.0% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.72
Possible
Both sides to score: no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.25
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.9% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.9% · fair odds 2.71 · best 2.65
Outsider
Draw23.3% · fair odds 4.29 · best 4.30
Outsider
OH Leuven to win20.6% · fair odds 4.85 · best 4.95
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.89 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.4%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 09.5%
2 : 09.0%
3 : 16.3%
1 : 25.7%

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: who is missing

St. Truiden

  • No reported absences

OH Leuven

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Club Brugge KV109-0-126:827
2Union St. Gilloise108-2-029:726
3Gent108-1-119:625
4Charleroi108-0-221:1224
5Anderlecht106-1-313:1119
6Genk104-3-318:1415
7Lommel United104-3-313:1115
8KVC Westerlo104-2-425:2514
9Standard Liège103-3-415:1612
10Zulte Waregem103-2-512:1611
11Antwerp103-1-616:2210
12SK Beveren103-1-613:2010
13OH Leuven102-3-510:179
14KV Mechelen92-3-410:179
15St. Truiden102-2-618:218
16RAAL La Louvière102-1-713:237
17Cercle Brugge101-3-613:226
18Kortrijk91-1-73:194

Recent matches

St. Truiden

1 NovLSt. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven
25 OctLClub Brugge KV 3–2 St. Truiden
22 OctWFC Midtjylland 0–1 St. Truiden
15 OctWSt. Truiden 2–0 FC Iberia 1999
11 OctLKV Mechelen 4–3 St. Truiden

OH Leuven

1 NovWSt. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven
24 OctDOH Leuven 2–2 Lommel United
11 OctDUnion St. Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven
19 SeptWOH Leuven 2–0 RAAL La Louvière
12 SeptDOH Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge

Home and away

St. Truiden at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 6–8
OH Leuven away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 4–9

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: team stats compared

St. TruidenOH Leuven
33%Form67%
60%Attack40%
39%Defence61%
71%Head to head29%
57%Goals43%
55.2%Overall44.8%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

St. TruidenLLLLL
OH LeuvenWDDWD

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: head to head

All matches
7St. Truiden
6Draws
6OH Leuven
18/1/26 · St. Truiden 1–0 OH Leuven
23/11/25 · OH Leuven 1–2 St. Truiden
16/3/25 · OH Leuven 3–2 St. Truiden
15/9/24 · St. Truiden 2–1 OH Leuven
17/5/24 · St. Truiden 1–1 OH Leuven
20/4/24 · OH Leuven 1–0 St. Truiden

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: questions and answers

What is the best tip for St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?

Our result tip is St. Truiden to win (odds 1.72), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is St. Truiden or draw (1X).

Who will win St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?

Our probabilities: St. Truiden to win 56%, a draw 23%, OH Leuven to win 21%.

What time and where is kick-off?

1 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Stayen, Sint- Truiden. Referee: Michiel Allaerts, Belgium.

Who will be missing?

St. Truiden: no absences. OH Leuven: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen 4 NovStandard Liège vs SK Beveren 6 NovKVC Westerlo vs Charleroi 7 NovOH Leuven vs KV Mechelen 7 NovAntwerp vs Lommel United 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.