Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
St. Truiden v OH Leuven is on 1 November 2026 · 15:00 at Stayen (Sint- Truiden); Michiel Allaerts, Belgium takes charge. We think St. Truiden (56%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, St. Truiden are 15th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas OH Leuven are 13th with 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. St. Truiden have scored 1.9 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; OH Leuven average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. St. Truiden: 2W 2D 5L, goals 17–19; OH Leuven: 1W 3D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Head to head. In their 19 meetings so far, St. Truiden have 7 wins, OH Leuven have 6 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 25–27.
What to expect
St. Truiden should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 19; St. Truiden 7 wins, 6 draws, OH Leuven 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: St. Truiden 17–19, OH Leuven 8–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: St. Truiden 0, OH Leuven 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.68). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
St. Truiden are missing: no absences. OH Leuven are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.72 | 4.30 | 4.95 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 4.02 | 4.55 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.62 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.65 | 2.54 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 13:16. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: St. Truiden 1–1 OH Leuven, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: St. Truiden 15th (8 points), OH Leuven 13th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: St. Truiden 2W 2D 5L (17:19), OH Leuven 1W 3D 5L (8:16).
- H2H: 19 matches: St. Truiden 7W 6D 6L, goals 25–27.
- Absences: St. Truiden 0, OH Leuven 0.
Who will win St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: who is missing
St. Truiden
- No reported absences
OH Leuven
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 | |
| 4 | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
St. Truiden
Home and away
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: questions and answers
What is the best tip for St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
Our result tip is St. Truiden to win (odds 1.72), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is St. Truiden or draw (1X).
Who will win St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
Our probabilities: St. Truiden to win 56%, a draw 23%, OH Leuven to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Stayen, Sint- Truiden. Referee: Michiel Allaerts, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
St. Truiden: no absences. OH Leuven: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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