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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14 · 21 November 2026 · 15:00

Celtic vs ST Mirren: tip, odds and prediction – 21 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

LDWWW
VS
1Celtic1.18
XDraw8.00
2ST Mirren15.00

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:38

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Celtic are at home to ST Mirren on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Celtic Park (Glasgow). Our favourites are Celtic (81%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Celtic vs ST Mirren: tip and prediction
Result
Celtic to win
1.18
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.75
Combo
Celtic plus over 2.5 goals
1.53
65% · combo fair price
81%chance of the result
55%chance for the goals tip
3–0likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Celtic or draw (1X) – 93% probability, top odds 1.04. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Celtic vs ST Mirren: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.188.0015.00
Market average1.157.7414.20
Lowest odds1.137.5013.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.091.0588.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.301.2673.8%
Under 2.5 goals3.753.5526.2%
Over 3.5 goals1.751.7354.7%
BTTS – yes1.801.7852.2%
BTTS – no1.951.9447.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Celtic 3–0 ST Mirren, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Celtic 1st (28 points), ST Mirren 8th (14 points).
  • H2H: 47 matches: Celtic 39W 5D 3L, goals 122–25.
  • Absences: Celtic 0, ST Mirren 0.

Who will win Celtic vs ST Mirren?

Celtic81%
Draw12%
ST Mirren7%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Celtic vs ST Mirren: more markets and betting tips

Celtic or draw (1X)93.4% · fair odds 1.07 · best 1.04
Likely
Over 1.5 goals88.1% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.09
Likely
Celtic to win81.4% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 2.5 goals73.8% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Over 3.5 goals54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.75
Possible
Both sides to score: yes52.2% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: no47.8% · fair odds 2.09 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.15
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals26.2% · fair odds 3.81 · best 3.75
Outsider
Draw12.1% · fair odds 8.29 · best 8.00
Outsider
ST Mirren to win6.6% · fair odds 15.20 · best 15.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

3 : 010.1%
2 : 09.9%
3 : 18.1%
2 : 17.9%
4 : 07.7%
1 : 06.5%

Celtic vs ST Mirren: who is missing

Celtic

  • No reported absences

ST Mirren

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Celtic vs ST Mirren: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee Utd114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Celtic

1 NovLFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctDCeltic 2–2 Dundee Utd
25 OctWHibernian 1–2 Celtic
22 OctLCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo
18 OctWCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

ST Mirren

31 OctLMotherwell 1–0 ST Mirren
28 OctDST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian
24 OctWST Mirren 2–1 Dundee
17 OctLAberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren
10 OctLHeart Of Midlothian 5–0 ST Mirren

Home and away

Celtic at home6 matches: 4W 1D 1L, goals 15–5
ST Mirren away6 matches: 2W 0D 4L, goals 4–10

Celtic vs ST Mirren: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Celtic are 1st with 28 points after 12 matches (9W 1D 2L), whereas ST Mirren are 8th with 14 points (4W 2D 6L).
  2. Head to head. In their 47 meetings so far, Celtic have 39 wins, ST Mirren have 3 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 122–25.

What to expect

Celtic should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 3–0 (10.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

At 1.18, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 47; Celtic 39 wins, 5 draws, ST Mirren 3 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 74%.
  4. Absent: Celtic 0, ST Mirren 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Celtic are missing: no absences. ST Mirren are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Celtic vs ST Mirren: head to head

All matches
39Celtic
5Draws
3ST Mirren
5/9/26 · ST Mirren 1–2 Celtic
19/4/26 · Celtic 6–2 ST Mirren
11/4/26 · Celtic 1–0 ST Mirren
14/12/25 · ST Mirren 3–1 Celtic
22/11/25 · ST Mirren 0–1 Celtic
3/8/25 · Celtic 1–0 ST Mirren

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Celtic vs ST Mirren: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Celtic vs ST Mirren?

Our result tip is Celtic to win (odds 1.18), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Celtic or draw (1X).

Who will win Celtic vs ST Mirren?

Our probabilities: Celtic to win 81%, a draw 12%, ST Mirren to win 7%.

What time and where is kick-off?

21 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Celtic Park, Glasgow.

Who will be missing?

Celtic: no absences. ST Mirren: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 74% (odds 1.30); under 2.5 goals is at 26% (odds 3.75).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.80).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 3–0 (10.1%); after that come 2–0 (9.9%) and 3–1 (8.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee Utd vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.