Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Falkirk are at home to Celtic on 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk). Our favourites are Celtic (65%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Falkirk vs Celtic: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Falkirk are 4th with 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L), whereas Celtic are 1st with 28 points (9W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Falkirk have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Celtic average 2.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Falkirk: 4W 3D 4L, goals 13–12; Celtic: 9W 1D 1L, goals 27–8.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Falkirk have 1 win, Celtic have 8 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 7–24.
What to expect
Celtic should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Falkirk 1 win, 0 draws, Celtic 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Falkirk 13–12, Celtic 27–8.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: Falkirk 0, Celtic 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Falkirk are missing: no absences. Celtic are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Falkirk vs Celtic: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.50 | 5.50 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 6.02 | 4.90 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 5.25 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.58 | 36.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.21 | 42.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.19 | 42.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Falkirk 1–2 Celtic, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), Celtic 1st (28 points).
- Form in the competition: Falkirk 4W 3D 4L (13:12), Celtic 9W 1D 1L (27:8).
- H2H: 9 matches: Falkirk 1W 0D 8L, goals 7–24.
- Absences: Falkirk 0, Celtic 0.
Who will win Falkirk vs Celtic?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Falkirk vs Celtic: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Falkirk vs Celtic: who is missing
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Celtic
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Falkirk vs Celtic: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Falkirk
Home and away
Falkirk vs Celtic: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FalkirkWWWWLCelticLDWWWFalkirk vs Celtic: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Falkirk vs Celtic: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Falkirk vs Celtic?
Falkirk +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Falkirk vs Celtic?
Our probabilities: Falkirk to win 16%, a draw 19%, Celtic to win 65%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk.
Who will be missing?
Falkirk: no absences. Celtic: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.67).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.8%); after that come 0–2 (9.3%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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