Bet with MINO CASINO →Cardiff v West Ham is on 4 November 2026 · 19:45 at Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff); Edward Duckworth takes charge. We think West Ham (47%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Cardiff vs West Ham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Cardiff are 17th with 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L), whereas West Ham are 8th with 22 points (6W 4D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Cardiff have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; West Ham average 2.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cardiff: 3W 5D 5L, goals 19–20; West Ham: 6W 4D 3L, goals 33–18.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Cardiff have 2 wins, West Ham have 7 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–17.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.87), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Cardiff 2 wins, 0 draws, West Ham 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Cardiff 19–20, West Ham 33–18.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Absent: Cardiff 4, West Ham 2.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, best available odds 2.00). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Cardiff are missing: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. West Ham are without: K. Mavropanos, K. Lamadrid. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Cardiff vs West Ham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.40 | 4.15 | 2.06 |
| Market average | 3.21 | 3.94 | 1.99 |
| Lowest odds | 2.81 | 3.34 | 1.92 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.93 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.96 | 48.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 68.0% |
| BTTS – no | 3.10 | 2.91 | 32.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cardiff 1–1 West Ham, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Cardiff 17th (14 points), West Ham 8th (22 points).
- Form in the competition: Cardiff 3W 5D 5L (19:20), West Ham 6W 4D 3L (33:18).
- H2H: 9 matches: Cardiff 2W 0D 7L, goals 6–17.
- Absences: Cardiff 4, West Ham 2.
Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Cardiff vs West Ham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cardiff vs West Ham: who is missing
Cardiff
- C. Chambersknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Lawlorhamstring injury · will miss the match
- K. Bieliknot in the squad · doubtful
- C. Robinsonnot in the squad · doubtful
West Ham
- K. Mavropanosknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Lamadridinjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Cardiff vs West Ham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cardiff
Home and away
Cardiff vs West Ham: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CardiffLWDWLWest HamLLWWDCardiff vs West Ham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Cardiff vs West Ham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Cardiff vs West Ham?
Cardiff +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.87).
Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?
Our probabilities: Cardiff to win 29%, a draw 24%, West Ham to win 47%.
What time and where is kick-off?
4 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff. Referee: Edward Duckworth.
Who will be missing?
Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. West Ham: K. Mavropanos, K. Lamadrid. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 68% (odds 1.40); under 2.5 goals is at 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 68% probability (odds 1.40).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.3%); after that come 1–2 (9.1%) and 2–1 (7.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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