Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Willem II meet Cambuur on 24 October 2026 · 17:45 at Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg), refereed by Dennis Higler. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Willem II vs Cambuur: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Willem II are 18th with 2 points after 11 matches (0W 2D 9L), whereas Cambuur are 9th with 15 points (4W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Willem II have scored 1.0 and conceded 2.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Cambuur average 1.4 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Willem II: 0W 2D 7L, goals 9–26; Cambuur: 2W 3D 4L, goals 13–21.
- Head to head. In their 11 meetings so far, Willem II have 2 wins, Cambuur have 4 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 13–18.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Cambuur are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 11; Willem II 2 wins, 5 draws, Cambuur 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Willem II 9–26, Cambuur 13–21.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Willem II 5, Cambuur 4.
Alternative tip: Willem II or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Willem II or draw (1X) (probability 63%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Willem II are missing: A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, W. van der Steen. Cambuur are without: J. Amofa, W. Asselman, D. Bouah, D. Visser. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Willem II vs Cambuur: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.50 | 3.69 | 2.58 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.59 | 1.53 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.30 | 41.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.44 | 64.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.64 | 35.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Willem II 1–1 Cambuur, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Willem II 18th (2 points), Cambuur 9th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Willem II 0W 2D 7L (9:26), Cambuur 2W 3D 4L (13:21).
- H2H: 11 matches: Willem II 2W 5D 4L, goals 13–18.
- Absences: Willem II 5, Cambuur 4.
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Willem II vs Cambuur: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Willem II vs Cambuur: who is missing
Willem II
- A. Culumfoot injury · will miss the match
- T. Didillon Hodlhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Hoogmaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Lachkargroin injury · will miss the match
- W. van der Steennot in the squad · will miss the match
Cambuur
- J. Amofainjury · will miss the match
- W. Asselmaninjury · will miss the match
- D. Bouahred card · will miss the match
- D. Visserknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Willem II vs Cambuur: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Willem II
Home and away
Willem II vs Cambuur: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Willem IILLLLLCambuurWWDWDWillem II vs Cambuur: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Willem II vs Cambuur: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Willem II vs Cambuur?
Cambuur +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.45).
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
Our probabilities: Willem II to win 38%, a draw 26%, Cambuur to win 37%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. Referee: Dennis Higler.
Who will be missing?
Willem II: A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, W. van der Steen. Cambuur: J. Amofa, W. Asselman, D. Bouah, D. Visser. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.59); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.45).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.