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Premier League · Matchweek 11 · 21 November 2026 · 15:00

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: tip, odds and prediction – 21 November 2026, Premier League

1Bournemouth1.88
XDraw3.96
2Nottingham Forest4.32

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:43

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Bournemouth are at home to Nottingham Forest on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth). Our favourites are Bournemouth (52%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: tip and prediction
Handicap
Nottingham Forest +0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.84
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
Combo
Bournemouth plus over 2.5 goals
3.08
32% · combo fair price
54%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bournemouth or draw (1X) – 77% probability, top odds 1.26.

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Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Bournemouth are 8th with 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), whereas Nottingham Forest are 19th with 6 points (1W 3D 5L).

What to expect

Bournemouth should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
  2. Absent: Bournemouth 0, Nottingham Forest 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Bournemouth are missing: no absences. Nottingham Forest are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.883.964.32
Market average1.853.744.14
Lowest odds1.833.604.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2575.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.891.8452.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.062.0247.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.203.0431.2%
BTTS – yes1.751.7254.0%
BTTS – no2.072.0346.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bournemouth 8th (12 points), Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points).
  • Absences: Bournemouth 0, Nottingham Forest 0.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Bournemouth52%
Draw25%
Nottingham Forest23%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: more markets and betting tips

Bournemouth or draw (1X)77.0% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.1% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.8% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.42
Likely
Both sides to score: yes54.0% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.4% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.89
Possible
Bournemouth to win51.5% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.88
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.6% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.06
Outsider
Both sides to score: no46.0% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.07
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.2% · fair odds 3.21 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw25.5% · fair odds 3.92 · best 3.96
Outsider
Nottingham Forest to win23.0% · fair odds 4.35 · best 4.32
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.4%
1 : 010.9%
2 : 19.7%
2 : 09.2%
0 : 16.7%
0 : 06.4%

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: who is missing

Bournemouth

  • No reported absences

Nottingham Forest

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Everton93-4-29:913
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Bournemouth

31 OctWBournemouth 2–0 Leeds
25 OctWManchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
22 OctWBournemouth 3–0 AC Milan
18 OctWBournemouth 2–0 Sunderland
15 OctWBournemouth 3–0 Sturm Graz

Nottingham Forest

31 OctLBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
23 OctDIpswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
18 OctLNottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal
11 OctLCrystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest
19 SeptLNottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry

Home and away

Bournemouth at home5 matches: 2W 2D 1L, goals 7–4
Nottingham Forest away5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 6–9

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.0%

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Nottingham Forest +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.75).

Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Our probabilities: Bournemouth to win 52%, a draw 25%, Nottingham Forest to win 23%.

What time and where is kick-off?

21 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.

Who will be missing?

Bournemouth: no absences. Nottingham Forest: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.89); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.06).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Everton vs Coventry 6 NovLeeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 Nov

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