Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal is on 18 October 2026 · 16:30 at City Ground (Nottingham); Michael Oliver, England takes charge. We think Arsenal (58%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Nottingham Forest are 19th with 6 points after 9 matches (1W 3D 5L), whereas Arsenal are 1st with 24 points (8W 0D 1L).
What to expect
Arsenal should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.86). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Nottingham Forest are missing: no absences. Arsenal are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.96 | 4.00 | 1.68 |
| Market average | 5.61 | 3.89 | 1.63 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.84 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 2.00 | 48.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.03 | 31.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.86 | 1.83 | 50.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 13:08. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points), Arsenal 1st (24 points).
- Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: who is missing
Nottingham Forest
- No reported absences
Arsenal
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Nottingham Forest
Home and away
Returns calculator
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Our result tip is Arsenal to win (odds 1.68), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90). The safer pick is Draw or Arsenal (X2).
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Our probabilities: Nottingham Forest to win 17%, a draw 24%, Arsenal to win 58%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 16:30, at City Ground, Nottingham. Referee: Michael Oliver, England.
Who will be missing?
Nottingham Forest: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.90); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.86).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (12.1%); after that come 0–2 (10.9%) and 1–1 (10.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.