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Premier League · Matchweek 8 · 23 October 2026 · 20:00

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: tip, odds and prediction – 23 October 2026, Premier League

1Ipswich3.29
XDraw3.58
2Nottingham Forest2.36

Best available odds · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Ipswich are at home to Nottingham Forest on 23 October 2026 · 20:00 at Portman Road Stadium (Ipswich), with Thomas Bramall, England as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Nottingham Forest (X2)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.62
70%chance of the result
59%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Ipswich are 14th with 11 points after 9 matches (3W 2D 4L), whereas Nottingham Forest are 19th with 6 points (1W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Ipswich have scored 1.6 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Nottingham Forest average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Ipswich: 3W 0D 4L, goals 11–15; Nottingham Forest: 1W 2D 4L, goals 5–9.
  4. Head to head. In their 20 meetings so far, Ipswich have 4 wins, Nottingham Forest have 9 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–32.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Here is a twist: the table suggests the Ipswich are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 20; Ipswich 4 wins, 7 draws, Nottingham Forest 9 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Ipswich 11–15, Nottingham Forest 5–9.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
  5. Absent: Ipswich 2, Nottingham Forest 2.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Ipswich are missing: S. Lukic, J. Taylor. Nottingham Forest are without: Igor Jesus, N. Savona. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.293.582.36
Market average3.153.472.28
Lowest odds3.003.302.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2376.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.831.7754.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.142.0945.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.942.7933.9%
BTTS – yes1.621.5858.8%
BTTS – no2.382.2641.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Ipswich 14th (11 points), Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: Ipswich 3W 0D 4L (11:15), Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 4L (5:9).
  • H2H: 20 matches: Ipswich 4W 7D 9L, goals 23–32.
  • Absences: Ipswich 2, Nottingham Forest 2.

Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?

Ipswich30%
Draw28%
Nottingham Forest42%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.9% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Draw or Nottingham Forest (X2)69.6% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.44
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.8% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.83
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.14
Outsider
Nottingham Forest to win42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.36
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.38
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.94
Outsider
Ipswich to win30.4% · fair odds 3.29 · best 3.29
Outsider
Draw27.6% · fair odds 3.62 · best 3.58
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.93 · Under 1.83
probability of over 48.7%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.70 · Under 2.09
probability of over 55.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
1 : 29.0%
0 : 19.0%
2 : 17.6%
1 : 07.5%
0 : 26.9%

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: who is missing

Ipswich

  • S. Lukicgroin injury · will miss the match
  • J. Taylorknee injury · will miss the match

Nottingham Forest

  • Igor Jesuscalf injury · will miss the match
  • N. Savonaknee injury · will miss the match

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Everton93-4-29:913
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Ipswich

31 OctDHull City 2–2 Ipswich
23 OctDIpswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
17 OctLManchester City 3–2 Ipswich
10 OctWIpswich 2–1 Fulham
19 SeptLEverton 1–0 Ipswich

Nottingham Forest

31 OctLBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
23 OctDIpswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
18 OctLNottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal
11 OctLCrystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest
19 SeptLNottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry

Home and away

Ipswich at home4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 5–5
Nottingham Forest away5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 6–9

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: team stats compared

IpswichNottingham Forest
60%Form40%
70%Attack30%
40%Defence60%
15%Head to head85%
31%Goals69%
44.2%Overall55.8%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

IpswichDDLWL
Nottingham ForestLDLLL

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: head to head

All matches
4Ipswich
7Draws
9Nottingham Forest
23/10/26 · Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
15/3/25 · Ipswich 2–4 Nottingham Forest
3/3/25 · Nottingham Forest 1–1 Ipswich
30/11/24 · Nottingham Forest 1–0 Ipswich
16/3/19 · Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
1/12/18 · Nottingham Forest 2–0 Ipswich

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.4%

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?

Our result tip is Draw or Nottingham Forest (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Draw or Nottingham Forest (X2).

Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?

Our probabilities: Ipswich to win 30%, a draw 28%, Nottingham Forest to win 42%.

What time and where is kick-off?

23 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich. Referee: Thomas Bramall, England.

Who will be missing?

Ipswich: S. Lukic, J. Taylor. Nottingham Forest: Igor Jesus, N. Savona. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.83); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.14).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (9.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Everton vs Coventry 6 NovLeeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.