Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ipswich are at home to Nottingham Forest on 23 October 2026 · 20:00 at Portman Road Stadium (Ipswich), with Thomas Bramall, England as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Ipswich are 14th with 11 points after 9 matches (3W 2D 4L), whereas Nottingham Forest are 19th with 6 points (1W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Ipswich have scored 1.6 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Nottingham Forest average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ipswich: 3W 0D 4L, goals 11–15; Nottingham Forest: 1W 2D 4L, goals 5–9.
- Head to head. In their 20 meetings so far, Ipswich have 4 wins, Nottingham Forest have 9 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–32.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Ipswich are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 20; Ipswich 4 wins, 7 draws, Nottingham Forest 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Ipswich 11–15, Nottingham Forest 5–9.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: Ipswich 2, Nottingham Forest 2.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Ipswich are missing: S. Lukic, J. Taylor. Nottingham Forest are without: Igor Jesus, N. Savona. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.29 | 3.58 | 2.36 |
| Market average | 3.15 | 3.47 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.09 | 45.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.94 | 2.79 | 33.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ipswich 14th (11 points), Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Ipswich 3W 0D 4L (11:15), Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 4L (5:9).
- H2H: 20 matches: Ipswich 4W 7D 9L, goals 23–32.
- Absences: Ipswich 2, Nottingham Forest 2.
Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: who is missing
Ipswich
- S. Lukicgroin injury · will miss the match
- J. Taylorknee injury · will miss the match
Nottingham Forest
- Igor Jesuscalf injury · will miss the match
- N. Savonaknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Ipswich
Home and away
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
Our result tip is Draw or Nottingham Forest (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Draw or Nottingham Forest (X2).
Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
Our probabilities: Ipswich to win 30%, a draw 28%, Nottingham Forest to win 42%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich. Referee: Thomas Bramall, England.
Who will be missing?
Ipswich: S. Lukic, J. Taylor. Nottingham Forest: Igor Jesus, N. Savona. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.83); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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