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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 15:30

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: tip, odds and prediction – 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Kairat Almaty5.70
XDraw4.15
2Panathinaikos1.68

Best available odds · Updated 22/10/26, 12:20

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Played: final score 1–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos is on 22 October 2026 · 15:30 at Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty); A. Lindhout takes charge. We think Panathinaikos (58%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: tip and prediction
Result
Panathinaikos to win
1.68
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
Combo
Panathinaikos plus over 2.5 goals
2.71
37% · combo fair price
58%chance of the result
52%chance for the goals tip
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Panathinaikos (X2) – 82% probability, top odds 1.18.

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Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds5.704.151.68
Market average5.223.931.61
Lowest odds4.503.491.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2475.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.8152.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9847.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.9831.4%
BTTS – yes1.831.8051.6%
BTTS – no2.001.9248.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 12:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Kairat Almaty 0–1 Panathinaikos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Kairat Almaty 31st (1 point), Panathinaikos 1st (6 points).
  • Absences: Kairat Almaty 0, Panathinaikos 0.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Kairat Almaty18%
Draw24%
Panathinaikos58%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Panathinaikos (X2)82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.2% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Panathinaikos to win58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.68
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.86
Possible
Both sides to score: yes51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.83
Possible
Both sides to score: no48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw23.9% · fair odds 4.19 · best 4.15
Outsider
Kairat Almaty to win18.0% · fair odds 5.55 · best 5.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.3%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 111.2%
1 : 110.7%
0 : 210.4%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 36.4%
1 : 36.1%

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: who is missing

Kairat Almaty

  • No reported absences

Panathinaikos

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Kairat Almaty

22 OctLKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctDRiga 1–1 Kairat Almaty

Panathinaikos

22 OctWKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctWPanathinaikos 2–1 Borac Banja Luka
27 AugWHradec Králové 1–2 Panathinaikos
20 AugDPanathinaikos 2–2 Hradec Králové
11 AugWCSKA 1948 1–2 Panathinaikos

Home and away

Kairat Almaty at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–5
Panathinaikos away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Kairat Almaty are 31st with 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), whereas Panathinaikos are 1st with 6 points (2W 0D 0L).

What to expect

Panathinaikos should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
  2. Absent: Kairat Almaty 0, Panathinaikos 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Kairat Almaty are missing: no absences. Panathinaikos are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Our result tip is Panathinaikos to win (odds 1.68), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86). The safer pick is Draw or Panathinaikos (X2).

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Our probabilities: Kairat Almaty to win 18%, a draw 24%, Panathinaikos to win 58%.

What time and where is kick-off?

22 October 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty. Referee: A. Lindhout.

Who will be missing?

Kairat Almaty: no absences. Panathinaikos: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.86); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–1 (11.2%); after that come 1–1 (10.7%) and 0–2 (10.4%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.