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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7 · 18 October 2026 · 14:00

Angers vs Marseille: tip, odds and prediction – 18 October 2026, Ligue 1

LDLLW
2–5
1Angers3.93
XDraw3.90
2Marseille2.04

Best available odds · Updated 18/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 2–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Angers meet Marseille on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers), refereed by J. Pignard. Marseille (49%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Angers vs Marseille: tip and prediction
Handicap
Marseille +0 (Asian handicap)
1.53
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.56
65%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Marseille (X2) – 74% probability, top odds 1.31.

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Angers vs Marseille: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Angers are 15th with 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L), whereas Marseille are 6th with 15 points (5W 0D 4L).

What to expect

Marseille should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
  2. Absent: Angers 0, Marseille 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Angers are missing: no absences. Marseille are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Angers vs Marseille: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.933.902.04
Market average3.753.781.95
Lowest odds3.603.501.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1779.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.6358.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.382.3141.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.572.4638.0%
BTTS – yes1.571.5360.6%
BTTS – no2.452.3639.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Angers 1–1 Marseille, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Angers 15th (8 points), Marseille 6th (15 points).
  • Absences: Angers 0, Marseille 0.

Who will win Angers vs Marseille?

Angers26%
Draw25%
Marseille49%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Angers vs Marseille: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Marseille (X2)74.4% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.31
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.56
Likely
Both sides to score: yes60.6% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.6% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.68
Possible
Marseille to win49.1% · fair odds 2.04 · best 2.04
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.4% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.38
Outsider
Both sides to score: no39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.57
Outsider
Angers to win25.6% · fair odds 3.91 · best 3.93
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.73 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 18.5%
0 : 27.7%
2 : 16.7%
2 : 26.0%

Angers vs Marseille: who is missing

Angers

  • No reported absences

Marseille

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Angers vs Marseille: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
11Lorient93-3-37:812
12Toulouse92-4-312:1310
13Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Angers

1 NovLLyon 2–0 Angers
25 OctDAngers 0–0 Lorient
18 OctLAngers 2–5 Marseille
10 OctLStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
19 SeptWAngers 2–0 Estac Troyes

Marseille

1 NovWMarseille 2–0 Toulouse
25 OctWMarseille 4–3 Le Havre
22 OctLSturm Graz 1–0 Marseille
18 OctWAngers 2–5 Marseille
15 OctLMarseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Home and away

Angers at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–9
Marseille away4 matches: 2W 0D 2L, goals 7–5

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.5%

Angers vs Marseille: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Angers vs Marseille?

Marseille +0 (Asian handicap) (1.53); Under 3.5 goals (1.56).

Who will win Angers vs Marseille?

Our probabilities: Angers to win 26%, a draw 25%, Marseille to win 49%.

What time and where is kick-off?

18 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers. Referee: J. Pignard.

Who will be missing?

Angers: no absences. Marseille: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.