Played: final score 2–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Angers meet Marseille on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers), refereed by J. Pignard. Marseille (49%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Angers vs Marseille: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Angers are 15th with 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L), whereas Marseille are 6th with 15 points (5W 0D 4L).
What to expect
Marseille should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Angers 0, Marseille 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Angers are missing: no absences. Marseille are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Angers vs Marseille: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.93 | 3.90 | 2.04 |
| Market average | 3.75 | 3.78 | 1.95 |
| Lowest odds | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.63 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.31 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.46 | 38.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.36 | 39.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Angers 1–1 Marseille, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Angers 15th (8 points), Marseille 6th (15 points).
- Absences: Angers 0, Marseille 0.
Who will win Angers vs Marseille?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Angers vs Marseille: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Angers vs Marseille: who is missing
Angers
- No reported absences
Marseille
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Angers vs Marseille: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
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Angers vs Marseille: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Angers vs Marseille?
Marseille +0 (Asian handicap) (1.53); Under 3.5 goals (1.56).
Who will win Angers vs Marseille?
Our probabilities: Angers to win 26%, a draw 25%, Marseille to win 49%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers. Referee: J. Pignard.
Who will be missing?
Angers: no absences. Marseille: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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