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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 25 October 2026 · 13:00

Sabadell vs Tenerife: tip, odds and prediction – 25 October 2026, Segunda División

1–1
1Sabadell2.02
XDraw3.34
2Tenerife4.79

Best available odds · Updated 25/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sabadell v Tenerife is on 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell); S. Ais takes charge. We think Sabadell (49%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: tip and prediction
Result
Sabadell to win
2.02
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.56
49%chance of the result
64%chance for the goals tip
1–0likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sabadell or draw (1X) – 79% probability, top odds 1.24.

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Sabadell vs Tenerife: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Sabadell are 10th with 17 points after 12 matches (4W 5D 3L), whereas Tenerife are 14th with 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
  2. Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, Sabadell have 1 win, Tenerife have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 3–4.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–0 (15.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.56), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 3; Sabadell 1 win, 1 draw, Tenerife 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 36%.
  4. Absent: Sabadell 0, Tenerife 0.

Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 1.5 goals (probability 62%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Sabadell are missing: no absences. Tenerife are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.023.344.79
Market average1.923.114.40
Lowest odds1.852.904.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.601.5162.1%
Over 2.5 goals2.802.6036.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.561.4863.6%
Over 3.5 goals5.685.2218.0%
BTTS – yes2.272.2042.2%
BTTS – no1.651.6157.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sabadell 1–0 Tenerife, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Sabadell 10th (17 points), Tenerife 14th (14 points).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Sabadell 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
  • Absences: Sabadell 0, Tenerife 0.

Who will win Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Sabadell49%
Draw30%
Tenerife21%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.16
Likely
Sabadell or draw (1X)78.7% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.24
Likely
Under 2.5 goals63.6% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.56
Likely
Over 1.5 goals62.1% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.60
Likely
Both sides to score: no57.8% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.65
Possible
Sabadell to win48.6% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.02
Outsider
Both sides to score: yes42.2% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.27
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals36.4% · fair odds 2.75 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.34
Outsider
Tenerife to win21.3% · fair odds 4.70 · best 4.79
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals18.0% · fair odds 5.55 · best 5.68
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.94
probability of over 51.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.65 · Under 2.16
probability of over 56.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 015.7%
1 : 112.6%
0 : 011.6%
2 : 010.6%
0 : 19.3%
2 : 18.5%

Sabadell vs Tenerife: who is missing

Sabadell

  • No reported absences

Tenerife

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife113-5-313:1514
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz122-4-615:1610
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Sabadell

31 OctLAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctDSabadell 1–1 Tenerife
18 OctLBurgos 1–0 Sabadell
10 OctWAD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell
4 OctDSabadell 0–0 FC Andorra

Tenerife

25 OctDSabadell 1–1 Tenerife
19 OctDCelta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
12 OctDTenerife 1–1 Girona
5 OctLCórdoba 3–2 Tenerife
26 SeptDTenerife 1–1 Cádiz

Home and away

Sabadell at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 8–4
Tenerife away6 matches: 1W 3D 2L, goals 8–12

Sabadell vs Tenerife: head to head

All matches
1Sabadell
1Draws
1Tenerife
25/10/26 · Sabadell 1–1 Tenerife
16/5/21 · Sabadell 0–2 Tenerife
3/12/20 · Tenerife 1–2 Sabadell

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

Sabadell vs Tenerife: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Our result tip is Sabadell to win (odds 2.02), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.56). The safer pick is Sabadell or draw (1X).

Who will win Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Our probabilities: Sabadell to win 49%, a draw 30%, Tenerife to win 21%.

What time and where is kick-off?

25 October 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell. Referee: S. Ais.

Who will be missing?

Sabadell: no absences. Tenerife: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 36% (odds 2.80); under 2.5 goals is at 64% (odds 1.56).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 42% probability (odds 2.27).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–0 (15.7%); after that come 1–1 (12.6%) and 0–0 (11.6%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Castellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.