Bet with MINO CASINO →Watford v Middlesbrough is on 7 November 2026 · 15:00 at Vicarage Road (Watford). We think Middlesbrough (61%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Watford vs Middlesbrough: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Watford are 21st with 11 points after 13 matches (3W 2D 8L), whereas Middlesbrough are 1st with 28 points (8W 4D 1L).
- Head to head. In their 20 meetings so far, Watford have 10 wins, Middlesbrough have 6 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 26–24.
What to expect
Middlesbrough should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (10.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 20; Watford 10 wins, 4 draws, Middlesbrough 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Absent: Watford 0, Middlesbrough 0.
Alternative tip: Draw
Alternative pick: Draw (probability 21%, best available odds 4.40). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Watford are missing: no absences. Middlesbrough are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Watford vs Middlesbrough: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.16 | 4.40 | 1.54 |
| Market average | 5.16 | 4.40 | 1.54 |
| Lowest odds | 5.16 | 4.40 | 1.54 |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 13:42. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Watford 1–2 Middlesbrough, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Watford 21st (11 points), Middlesbrough 1st (28 points).
- H2H: 20 matches: Watford 10W 4D 6L, goals 26–24.
- Absences: Watford 0, Middlesbrough 0.
Who will win Watford vs Middlesbrough?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Watford vs Middlesbrough: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Watford vs Middlesbrough: who is missing
Watford
- No reported absences
Middlesbrough
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Watford vs Middlesbrough: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
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Watford vs Middlesbrough: questions and answers
Who will win Watford vs Middlesbrough?
Our probabilities: Watford to win 18%, a draw 21%, Middlesbrough to win 61%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Vicarage Road, Watford.
Who will be missing?
Watford: no absences. Middlesbrough: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (10.0%); after that come 0–2 (10.0%) and 1–1 (10.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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