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Serie B · Matchweek 11 · 8 November 2026 · 14:00

Virtus Entella vs Modena: tip, odds and prediction – 8 November 2026, Serie B

1Virtus Entella3.05
XDraw3.25
2Modena2.48

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 02:45

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Virtus Entella v Modena is on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Comunale (Chiavari). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Virtus Entella vs Modena: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Modena (X2)
1.40
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.78
68%chance of the result
54%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Virtus Entella vs Modena: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.053.252.48
Market average2.923.162.39
Lowest odds2.612.962.32
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.381.3270.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.122.0546.1%
Under 2.5 goals1.781.7653.9%
Over 3.5 goals3.753.5226.5%
BTTS – yes1.801.7752.5%
BTTS – no1.981.9547.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Virtus Entella 1–1 Modena, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Virtus Entella 14th (10 points), Modena 2nd (20 points).
  • Form in the competition: Virtus Entella 2W 4D 4L (11:12), Modena 6W 2D 2L (18:10).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Virtus Entella 2W 0D 2L, goals 4–6.
  • Absences: Virtus Entella 0, Modena 0.

Who will win Virtus Entella vs Modena?

Virtus Entella32%
Draw29%
Modena39%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Virtus Entella vs Modena: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.5% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.38
Likely
Draw or Modena (X2)68.2% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 2.5 goals53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.78
Possible
Both sides to score: yes52.5% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: no47.5% · fair odds 2.11 · best 1.98
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.12
Outsider
Modena to win38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.48
Outsider
Virtus Entella to win31.8% · fair odds 3.14 · best 3.05
Outsider
Draw29.4% · fair odds 3.40 · best 3.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals26.5% · fair odds 3.77 · best 3.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.74 · Under 2.01
probability of over 53.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.9%
0 : 111.2%
1 : 09.9%
0 : 08.6%
1 : 28.4%
2 : 17.4%

Virtus Entella vs Modena: who is missing

Virtus Entella

  • No reported absences

Modena

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Virtus Entella vs Modena: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Palermo108-2-024:1226
2Modena106-2-218:1020
3Ascoli105-4-116:619
4Mantova105-3-215:1118
5Avellino104-3-315:1015
6Benevento104-3-314:1015
7Hellas Verona104-3-319:1315
8Pisa104-3-318:1515
9Padova104-2-410:1114
10Südtirol103-5-211:1014
11Cremonese103-3-410:1112
12Cesena102-6-211:1412
13Arezzo103-2-59:1911
14Virtus Entella102-4-411:1210
15Carrarese103-1-69:1310
16Juve Stabia103-4-311:119
17Vicenza Virtus102-3-513:209
18Empoli102-2-610:178
19Sampdoria102-2-610:188
20Catanzaro101-3-611:226

Recent matches

Virtus Entella

31 OctLSampdoria 2–0 Virtus Entella
27 OctDVirtus Entella 1–1 Avellino
24 OctLVirtus Entella 0–1 Mantova
17 OctWPadova 1–2 Virtus Entella
10 OctDVirtus Entella 1–1 Juve Stabia

Modena

31 OctDModena 1–1 Mantova
27 OctWVicenza Virtus 1–2 Modena
24 OctWModena 3–0 Cesena
17 OctLCarrarese 2–1 Modena
11 OctWModena 3–2 Hellas Verona

Home and away

Virtus Entella at home5 matches: 0W 3D 2L, goals 5–7
Modena away5 matches: 3W 1D 1L, goals 9–5

Virtus Entella vs Modena: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Virtus Entella are 14th with 10 points after 10 matches (2W 4D 4L), whereas Modena are 2nd with 20 points (6W 2D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Virtus Entella have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Modena average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Virtus Entella: 2W 4D 4L, goals 11–12; Modena: 6W 2D 2L, goals 18–10.
  4. Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Virtus Entella have 2 wins, Modena have 2 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–6.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 4; Virtus Entella 2 wins, 0 draws, Modena 2 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Virtus Entella 11–12, Modena 18–10.
  4. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
  5. Absent: Virtus Entella 0, Modena 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Virtus Entella are missing: no absences. Modena are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Virtus Entella vs Modena: team stats compared

Virtus EntellaModena
33%Form67%
29%Attack71%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
40%Goals60%
38.0%Overall62.0%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Virtus EntellaLDLWD
ModenaDWWLW

Virtus Entella vs Modena: head to head

All matches
2Virtus Entella
0Draws
2Modena
3/3/26 · Virtus Entella 2–1 Modena
5/10/25 · Modena 2–0 Virtus Entella
30/1/22 · Virtus Entella 0–2 Modena
25/9/21 · Modena 1–2 Virtus Entella

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.0%

Virtus Entella vs Modena: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Virtus Entella vs Modena?

Our result tip is Draw or Modena (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78). The safer pick is Draw or Modena (X2).

Who will win Virtus Entella vs Modena?

Our probabilities: Virtus Entella to win 32%, a draw 29%, Modena to win 39%.

What time and where is kick-off?

8 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Comunale, Chiavari.

Who will be missing?

Virtus Entella: no absences. Modena: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.12); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.78).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.9%); after that come 0–1 (11.2%) and 1–0 (9.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Ascoli vs Palermo 6 NovCesena vs Catanzaro 7 NovPisa vs Südtirol 7 NovJuve Stabia vs Arezzo 7 NovPadova vs Empoli 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.