Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Virtus Entella are at home to Avellino on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Comunale (Chiavari), with Simone Galipò as the referee. Our favourites are Virtus Entella (45%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.12 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.17 | 3.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 2.96 | 3.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.34 | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.13 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.68 | 55.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.05 | 3.76 | 24.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.86 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Virtus Entella 1–1 Avellino, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Virtus Entella 14th (10 points), Avellino 5th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Virtus Entella 2W 3D 3L (10:9), Avellino 3W 2D 3L (12:9).
- H2H: 8 matches: Virtus Entella 1W 5D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Absences: Virtus Entella 0, Avellino 0.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: who is missing
Virtus Entella
- No reported absences
Avellino
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Virtus Entella
Home and away
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Virtus Entella are 14th with 10 points after 10 matches (2W 4D 4L), whereas Avellino are 5th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Virtus Entella have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Avellino average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Virtus Entella: 2W 3D 3L, goals 10–9; Avellino: 3W 2D 3L, goals 12–9.
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Virtus Entella have 1 win, Avellino have 2 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–9.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Avellino are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.72), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Virtus Entella 1 win, 5 draws, Avellino 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Virtus Entella 10–9, Avellino 12–9.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 44%.
- Absent: Virtus Entella 0, Avellino 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 50%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Virtus Entella are missing: no absences. Avellino are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Virtus EntellaLDLWDAvellinoWDLDWVirtus Entella vs Avellino: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Our result tip is Virtus Entella to win (odds 2.12), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.72). The safer pick is Virtus Entella or draw (1X).
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Our probabilities: Virtus Entella to win 45%, a draw 29%, Avellino to win 25%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stadio Comunale, Chiavari. Referee: Simone Galipò.
Who will be missing?
Virtus Entella: no absences. Avellino: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 44% (odds 2.24); under 2.5 goals is at 56% (odds 1.72).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.7%); after that come 1–0 (12.7%) and 0–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.