Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Vicenza Virtus v Modena is on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Romeo Menti (Vicenza); Daniele Perenzoni takes charge. We think Modena (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Vicenza Virtus are 17th with 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L), whereas Modena are 2nd with 20 points (6W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Vicenza Virtus have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Modena average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Vicenza Virtus: 2W 3D 3L, goals 11–15; Modena: 5W 1D 2L, goals 15–8.
- Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, Vicenza Virtus have 1 win, Modena have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–2.
What to expect
Modena should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.65), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 3; Vicenza Virtus 1 win, 1 draw, Modena 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Vicenza Virtus 11–15, Modena 15–8.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Vicenza Virtus 0, Modena 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Vicenza Virtus are missing: no absences. Modena are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.80 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| Market average | 3.50 | 3.41 | 2.02 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.16 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.22 | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.77 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 46.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.12 | 2.88 | 32.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 57.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Vicenza Virtus 1–1 Modena, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Vicenza Virtus 17th (9 points), Modena 2nd (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Vicenza Virtus 2W 3D 3L (11:15), Modena 5W 1D 2L (15:8).
- H2H: 3 matches: Vicenza Virtus 1W 1D 1L, goals 2–2.
- Absences: Vicenza Virtus 0, Modena 0.
Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: who is missing
Vicenza Virtus
- No reported absences
Modena
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 | Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Vicenza Virtus
Home and away
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Vicenza VirtusLLWDLModenaDWWLWVicenza Virtus vs Modena: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?
Our result tip is Modena to win (odds 2.08), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.65). The safer pick is Draw or Modena (X2).
Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?
Our probabilities: Vicenza Virtus to win 27%, a draw 27%, Modena to win 46%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza. Referee: Daniele Perenzoni.
Who will be missing?
Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Modena: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.86); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.65).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 0–1 (9.7%) and 1–2 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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