Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Viking are at home to Tromsø on 25 October 2026 · 13:30 at SR-Bank Arena (Stavanger), with Marius Lien as the referee. Our favourites are Viking (62%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Viking vs Tromsø: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Viking are 1st with 59 points after 25 matches (19W 2D 4L), whereas Tromsø are 6th with 40 points (11W 7D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Viking have scored 2.6 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Tromsø average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Viking: 18W 2D 3L, goals 59–22; Tromsø: 11W 7D 5L, goals 42–31.
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Viking have 9 wins, Tromsø have 5 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 35–28.
What to expect
Viking should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Viking 9 wins, 7 draws, Tromsø 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Viking 59–22, Tromsø 42–31.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Viking are missing: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Tromsø are without: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Viking vs Tromsø: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.55 | 4.86 | 5.82 |
| Market average | 1.51 | 4.57 | 5.30 |
| Lowest odds | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.63 | 35.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.15 | 43.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.33 | 39.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Viking 2–1 Tromsø, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Viking 1st (59 points), Tromsø 6th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Viking 18W 2D 3L (59:22), Tromsø 11W 7D 5L (42:31).
- H2H: 21 matches: Viking 9W 7D 5L, goals 35–28.
- Absences: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.
Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Viking vs Tromsø: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Viking vs Tromsø: who is missing
Viking
- K. Askildsenred card · will miss the match
- A. Baertelsenfoot injury · will miss the match
- V. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Bjorsholknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Rosethknee injury · will miss the match
- H. Falchenerknee injury · doubtful
- K. Haugenabsence · doubtful
Tromsø
- L. Hienred card · will miss the match
- S. Prestmoinjury · will miss the match
- M. Tonnesseninjury · will miss the match
- V. Erlieninjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Viking vs Tromsø: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Viking
Home and away
Viking vs Tromsø: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
VikingLWWWWTromsøLLDDWViking vs Tromsø: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Viking vs Tromsø: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Viking vs Tromsø?
Tromsø +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Over 2.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?
Our probabilities: Viking to win 62%, a draw 20%, Tromsø to win 18%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 13:30, at SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Referee: Marius Lien.
Who will be missing?
Viking: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Tromsø: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.48); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.8%); after that come 1–1 (8.9%) and 2–0 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.