Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Viking v Fredrikstad is on 17 October 2026 · 17:00 at SR-Bank Arena (Stavanger); Marius Grøtta, Norway takes charge. We think Viking (70%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Viking are 1st with 59 points after 25 matches (19W 2D 4L), whereas Fredrikstad are 11th with 29 points (8W 5D 12L).
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Viking have 6 wins, Fredrikstad have 1 win and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 17–9.
What to expect
Viking should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Viking 6 wins, 2 draws, Fredrikstad 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Absent: Viking 0, Fredrikstad 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Viking are missing: no absences. Fredrikstad are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.38 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 5.46 | 7.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.27 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.97 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Viking 2–1 Fredrikstad, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Viking 1st (59 points), Fredrikstad 11th (29 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Viking 6W 2D 1L, goals 17–9.
- Absences: Viking 0, Fredrikstad 0.
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Viking vs Fredrikstad: who is missing
Viking
- No reported absences
Fredrikstad
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
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Viking vs Fredrikstad: head to head
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Viking vs Fredrikstad: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Fredrikstad +1.5 (Asian handicap) (2.08); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Our probabilities: Viking to win 70%, a draw 17%, Fredrikstad to win 13%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Referee: Marius Grøtta, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Viking: no absences. Fredrikstad: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 68% (odds 1.40); under 2.5 goals is at 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.4%); after that come 2–0 (9.4%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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