Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Vålerenga meet Tromsø on 1 November 2026 · 18:15 at Intility Arena (Oslo), refereed by Marius Hansen Grotta. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Vålerenga are 8th with 32 points after 25 matches (9W 5D 11L), whereas Tromsø are 6th with 40 points (11W 7D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Vålerenga have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Tromsø average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Vålerenga: 8W 5D 11L, goals 39–46; Tromsø: 11W 7D 6L, goals 43–34.
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Vålerenga have 9 wins, Tromsø have 6 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 32–25.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Tromsø are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Vålerenga 9 wins, 6 draws, Tromsø 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Vålerenga 39–46, Tromsø 43–34.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Absent: Vålerenga 3, Tromsø 3.
Alternative tip: Vålerenga or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Vålerenga or draw (1X) (probability 65%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Vålerenga are missing: C. Lange, E. Rashani, K. Finnsson. Tromsø are without: T. Nyhammer, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.43 | 4.01 | 2.84 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.78 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.49 | 2.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 83.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.43 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.69 | 34.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.38 | 66.9% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.81 | 33.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Vålerenga 1–1 Tromsø, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Vålerenga 8th (32 points), Tromsø 6th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Vålerenga 8W 5D 11L (39:46), Tromsø 11W 7D 6L (43:34).
- H2H: 21 matches: Vålerenga 9W 6D 6L, goals 32–25.
- Absences: Vålerenga 3, Tromsø 3.
Who will win Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: who is missing
Vålerenga
- C. Langeabsence · will miss the match
- E. Rashaniinjury · will miss the match
- K. Finnssoninjury · doubtful
Tromsø
- T. Nyhammerabsence · will miss the match
- S. Prestmoinjury · will miss the match
- M. Tonnessenthigh injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 | Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Vålerenga
Home and away
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
VålerengaWWWLDTromsøLLDDWVålerenga vs Tromsø: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
Tromsø +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
Our probabilities: Vålerenga to win 40%, a draw 25%, Tromsø to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 18:15, at Intility Arena, Oslo. Referee: Marius Hansen Grotta.
Who will be missing?
Vålerenga: C. Lange, E. Rashani, K. Finnsson. Tromsø: T. Nyhammer, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 67% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.8%); after that come 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.