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Eliteserien · Matchweek 24 · 18 October 2026 · 18:15

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: tip, odds and prediction – 18 October 2026, Eliteserien

LLDDW
1–1
1Tromsø1.46
XDraw4.86
2KFUM Oslo7.07

Best available odds · Updated 18/10/26, 16:05

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Tromsø are at home to KFUM Oslo on 18 October 2026 · 18:15 at Alfheim (Tromsø), with Sigurd Smehus Kringstad as the referee. Our favourites are Tromsø (66%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: tip and prediction
Result
Tromsø to win
1.46
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
Combo
Tromsø plus over 2.5 goals
2.29
44% · combo fair price
66%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Tromsø or draw (1X) – 86% probability, top odds 1.11.

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Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.464.867.07
Market average1.424.566.74
Lowest odds1.404.406.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1779.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.661.6357.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2442.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.652.5236.7%
BTTS – yes1.801.7752.5%
BTTS – no2.001.9547.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 16:05. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Tromsø 2–0 KFUM Oslo, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Tromsø 6th (40 points), KFUM Oslo 10th (31 points).
  • H2H: 13 matches: Tromsø 4W 6D 3L, goals 17–13.
  • Absences: Tromsø 0, KFUM Oslo 0.

Who will win Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo?

Tromsø66%
Draw20%
KFUM Oslo14%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: more markets and betting tips

Tromsø or draw (1X)86.1% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
Tromsø to win65.7% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.46
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.51
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.66
Possible
Both sides to score: yes52.5% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: no47.5% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.7% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.65
Outsider
Draw20.5% · fair odds 4.89 · best 4.86
Outsider
KFUM Oslo to win13.9% · fair odds 7.21 · best 7.07
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.0%
1 : 010.5%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.4%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.9%

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: who is missing

Tromsø

  • No reported absences

KFUM Oslo

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Tromsø

1 NovLVålerenga 4–0 Tromsø
25 OctLViking 3–1 Tromsø
18 OctDTromsø 1–1 KFUM Oslo
11 OctDFredrikstad 1–1 Tromsø
20 SeptWTromsø 3–2 Ham-Kam

KFUM Oslo

1 NovDKFUM Oslo 2–2 Ham-Kam
25 OctDKristiansund BK 2–2 KFUM Oslo
18 OctDTromsø 1–1 KFUM Oslo
12 OctWKFUM Oslo 2–1 Vålerenga
18 SeptWSarpsborg 08 FF 1–3 KFUM Oslo

Home and away

Tromsø at home12 matches: 7W 4D 1L, goals 22–10
KFUM Oslo away12 matches: 2W 4D 6L, goals 15–25

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Tromsø are 6th with 40 points after 25 matches (11W 7D 7L), whereas KFUM Oslo are 10th with 31 points (8W 7D 10L).
  2. Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Tromsø have 4 wins, KFUM Oslo have 3 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 17–13.

What to expect

Tromsø should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 13; Tromsø 4 wins, 6 draws, KFUM Oslo 3 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
  4. Absent: Tromsø 0, KFUM Oslo 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.66). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Tromsø are missing: no absences. KFUM Oslo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: head to head

All matches
4Tromsø
6Draws
3KFUM Oslo
18/10/26 · Tromsø 1–1 KFUM Oslo
29/5/26 · KFUM Oslo 0–0 Tromsø
7/3/26 · KFUM Oslo 2–1 Tromsø
31/8/25 · Tromsø 2–0 KFUM Oslo
11/5/25 · KFUM Oslo 1–3 Tromsø
8/5/25 · Tromsø 0–1 KFUM Oslo

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.2%

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo?

Our result tip is Tromsø to win (odds 1.46), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is Tromsø or draw (1X).

Who will win Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo?

Our probabilities: Tromsø to win 66%, a draw 20%, KFUM Oslo to win 14%.

What time and where is kick-off?

18 October 2026, kick-off at 18:15, at Alfheim, Tromsø. Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad.

Who will be missing?

Tromsø: no absences. KFUM Oslo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.66); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.80).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.0%); after that come 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.