Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aston Villa v Viking is on 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham); Sebastian Gishamer takes charge. We think Aston Villa (75%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Aston Villa vs Viking: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.31 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| Market average | 1.28 | 6.47 | 9.35 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 6.00 | 8.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.04 | 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.75 | 24.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.69 | 56.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.35 | 39.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 21/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aston Villa 2–1 Viking, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Aston Villa 2nd (9 points), Viking 33rd (1 point).
- H2H: 1 match: Aston Villa 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–1.
- Absences: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Aston Villa vs Viking: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Aston Villa vs Viking: who is missing
Aston Villa
- No reported absences
Viking
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Viking: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Aston Villa
Home and away
Aston Villa vs Viking: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Aston Villa are 2nd with 9 points after 3 matches (3W 0D 0L), whereas Viking are 33rd with 1 point (0W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Aston Villa have 1 win, Viking have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 3–1.
What to expect
Aston Villa should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (8.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 60%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Aston Villa 1 win, 0 draws, Viking 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 75%.
- Absent: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Aston Villa are missing: no absences. Viking are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Viking: head to head
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Aston Villa vs Viking: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Our result tip is Aston Villa to win (odds 1.31), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Aston Villa or draw (1X).
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
Our probabilities: Aston Villa to win 75%, a draw 15%, Viking to win 10%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Villa Park, Birmingham. Referee: Sebastian Gishamer.
Who will be missing?
Aston Villa: no absences. Viking: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 75% (odds 1.28); under 2.5 goals is at 25% (odds 4.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (8.5%); after that come 3–1 (8.2%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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