Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Fredrikstad v Rosenborg is on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad); Sigurd Smehus Kringstad takes charge. We think Rosenborg (53%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Fredrikstad are 11th with 29 points after 25 matches (8W 5D 12L), whereas Rosenborg are 4th with 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Fredrikstad have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Rosenborg average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Fredrikstad: 8W 5D 11L, goals 29–41; Rosenborg: 12W 4D 8L, goals 46–31.
- Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, Fredrikstad have 1 win, Rosenborg have 4 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–13.
What to expect
Rosenborg should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.58), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 7; Fredrikstad 1 win, 2 draws, Rosenborg 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Fredrikstad 29–41, Rosenborg 46–31.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Fredrikstad 2, Rosenborg 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Fredrikstad are missing: S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Rosenborg are without: J. Bakke, S. Nordli, E. Slordal, H. Volden, A. Pereira. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.25 | 4.18 | 1.81 |
| Market average | 3.98 | 3.92 | 1.77 |
| Lowest odds | 3.40 | 3.31 | 1.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.56 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 39.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 12:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Fredrikstad 1–1 Rosenborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fredrikstad 11th (29 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- Form in the competition: Fredrikstad 8W 5D 11L (29:41), Rosenborg 12W 4D 8L (46:31).
- H2H: 7 matches: Fredrikstad 1W 2D 4L, goals 4–13.
- Absences: Fredrikstad 2, Rosenborg 5.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: who is missing
Fredrikstad
- S. Kvileknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nysveeninjury · will miss the match
Rosenborg
- J. Bakkeinjury · will miss the match
- S. Nordlithigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Slordalfoot injury · will miss the match
- H. Voldeninjury · will miss the match
- A. Pereiraillness · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Fredrikstad
Home and away
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FredrikstadLLLDDRosenborgWWWDWFredrikstad vs Rosenborg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Our result tip is Rosenborg to win (odds 1.81), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.58). The safer pick is Draw or Rosenborg (X2).
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Our probabilities: Fredrikstad to win 23%, a draw 24%, Rosenborg to win 53%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad. Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad.
Who will be missing?
Fredrikstad: S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Rosenborg: J. Bakke, S. Nordli, E. Slordal, H. Volden, A. Pereira. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.3%); after that come 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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