Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Empoli are at home to Vicenza Virtus on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at Carlo Castellani (Empoli), with Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Empoli are 18th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Vicenza Virtus are 17th with 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Empoli have 3 wins, Vicenza Virtus have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 10–6.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Empoli 3 wins, 1 draw, Vicenza Virtus 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Empoli 0, Vicenza Virtus 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Empoli are missing: no absences. Vicenza Virtus are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.62 | 3.39 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.53 | 3.28 | 2.72 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.24 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.83 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.95 | 48.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.41 | 3.05 | 30.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Empoli 1–1 Vicenza Virtus, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Empoli 18th (8 points), Vicenza Virtus 17th (9 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Empoli 3W 1D 1L, goals 10–6.
- Absences: Empoli 0, Vicenza Virtus 0.
Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: who is missing
Empoli
- No reported absences
Vicenza Virtus
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 | Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
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Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: head to head
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Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Vicenza Virtus +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Our probabilities: Empoli to win 37%, a draw 29%, Vicenza Virtus to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Carlo Castellani, Empoli. Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Empoli: no absences. Vicenza Virtus: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.93); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 1–0 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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