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Eliteserien · Matchweek 24 · 18 October 2026 · 16:00

Vålerenga vs Brann: tip, odds and prediction – 18 October 2026, Eliteserien

3–1
WLLLW
1Vålerenga2.30
XDraw4.05
2Brann2.89

Best available odds · Updated 18/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Vålerenga are at home to Brann on 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Intility Arena (Oslo), with Rohit Saggi as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Vålerenga vs Brann: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Vålerenga or draw (1X)
1.50
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.89
66%chance of the result
51%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Vålerenga vs Brann: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Vålerenga are 8th with 32 points after 25 matches (9W 5D 11L), whereas Brann are 7th with 32 points (10W 2D 13L).
  2. Head to head. In their 22 meetings so far, Vålerenga have 11 wins, Brann have 8 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 38–35.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.89), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 22; Vålerenga 11 wins, 3 draws, Brann 8 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 69%.
  4. Absent: Vålerenga 0, Brann 0.

Alternative tip: Vålerenga or draw (1X)

Alternative pick: Vålerenga or draw (1X) (probability 66%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Vålerenga are missing: no absences. Brann are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Vålerenga vs Brann: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.304.052.89
Market average2.223.892.76
Lowest odds2.153.702.70
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.0886.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.401.3568.6%
Under 2.5 goals3.102.9631.4%
Over 3.5 goals1.991.9149.2%
BTTS – yes1.361.3469.5%
BTTS – no3.203.0430.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Vålerenga 1–1 Brann, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Vålerenga 8th (32 points), Brann 7th (32 points).
  • H2H: 22 matches: Vålerenga 11W 3D 8L, goals 38–35.
  • Absences: Vålerenga 0, Brann 0.

Who will win Vålerenga vs Brann?

Vålerenga42%
Draw24%
Brann34%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Vålerenga vs Brann: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals86.0% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.12
Likely
Both sides to score: yes69.5% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.36
Likely
Over 2.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.40
Likely
Vålerenga or draw (1X)66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.89
Possible
Over 3.5 goals49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.99
Outsider
Vålerenga to win42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
Outsider
Brann to win33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.89
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
Both sides to score: no30.5% · fair odds 3.28 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw24.0% · fair odds 4.17 · best 4.05
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 11.5 corners
Over 1.75 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 19.2%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 27.6%
2 : 27.0%
1 : 05.6%
3 : 15.3%

Vålerenga vs Brann: who is missing

Vålerenga

  • No reported absences

Brann

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Vålerenga vs Brann: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Vålerenga

1 NovWVålerenga 4–0 Tromsø
24 OctWBodø/Glimt 0–1 Vålerenga
18 OctWVålerenga 3–1 Brann
12 OctLKFUM Oslo 2–1 Vålerenga
20 SeptDVålerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad

Brann

1 NovWBrann 3–2 Molde
25 OctLLillestrøm 3–2 Brann
22 OctWKauno Žalgiris 1–4 Brann
18 OctLVålerenga 3–1 Brann
15 OctWBrann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC

Home and away

Vålerenga at home13 matches: 6W 2D 5L, goals 27–20
Brann away12 matches: 3W 2D 7L, goals 22–22

Vålerenga vs Brann: head to head

All matches
11Vålerenga
3Draws
8Brann
18/10/26 · Vålerenga 3–1 Brann
26/7/26 · Brann 2–3 Vålerenga
13/9/25 · Brann 3–2 Vålerenga
3/5/25 · Vålerenga 2–4 Brann
22/3/25 · Brann 2–1 Vålerenga
27/2/24 · Brann 3–0 Vålerenga

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Vålerenga vs Brann: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Vålerenga vs Brann?

Our result tip is Vålerenga or draw (1X) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.89). The safer pick is Vålerenga or draw (1X).

Who will win Vålerenga vs Brann?

Our probabilities: Vålerenga to win 42%, a draw 24%, Brann to win 34%.

What time and where is kick-off?

18 October 2026, kick-off at 16:00, at Intility Arena, Oslo. Referee: Rohit Saggi.

Who will be missing?

Vålerenga: no absences. Brann: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 69% (odds 1.40); under 2.5 goals is at 31% (odds 3.10).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 69% probability (odds 1.36).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.2%); after that come 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (7.6%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.