Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bodø/Glimt v Vålerenga is on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Aspmyra Stadion (Hakata); Tore Hansen takes charge. We think Bodø/Glimt (83%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bodø/Glimt are 2nd with 59 points after 25 matches (19W 2D 4L), whereas Vålerenga are 8th with 32 points (9W 5D 11L).
- Attack and defence. Bodø/Glimt have scored 2.5 and conceded 0.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Vålerenga average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bodø/Glimt: 18W 2D 3L, goals 58–20; Vålerenga: 7W 5D 11L, goals 38–46.
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Bodø/Glimt have 11 wins, Vålerenga have 4 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 47–27.
What to expect
Bodø/Glimt should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 3–0 (8.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.15, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Bodø/Glimt 11 wins, 6 draws, Vålerenga 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bodø/Glimt 58–20, Vålerenga 38–46.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 82%.
- Absent: Bodø/Glimt 4, Vålerenga 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bodø/Glimt are missing: H. Evjen, A. Mikkelsen, M. Riisnaes, I. Sjong. Vålerenga are without: E. Rashani, H. Sjatil, K. Finnsson. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.15 | 10.50 | 17.00 |
| Market average | 1.13 | 9.38 | 14.48 |
| Lowest odds | 1.10 | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.05 | 1.03 | 91.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 5.67 | 5.14 | 18.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.41 | 66.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:08. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bodø/Glimt 3–0 Vålerenga, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Bodø/Glimt 2nd (59 points), Vålerenga 8th (32 points).
- Form in the competition: Bodø/Glimt 18W 2D 3L (58:20), Vålerenga 7W 5D 11L (38:46).
- H2H: 21 matches: Bodø/Glimt 11W 6D 4L, goals 47–27.
- Absences: Bodø/Glimt 4, Vålerenga 3.
Who will win Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga: who is missing
Bodø/Glimt
- H. Evjenknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Mikkelsengroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Riisnaesknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Sjonginjury · will miss the match
Vålerenga
- E. Rashaniinjury · will miss the match
- H. Sjatilabsence · will miss the match
- K. Finnssoninjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 | Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Bodø/Glimt
Home and away
Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Bodø/GlimtWLWWLVålerengaWWWLDBodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga: head to head
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Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga?
Our result tip is Bodø/Glimt to win (odds 1.15), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Bodø/Glimt or draw (1X).
Who will win Bodø/Glimt vs Vålerenga?
Our probabilities: Bodø/Glimt to win 83%, a draw 10%, Vålerenga to win 7%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata. Referee: Tore Hansen.
Who will be missing?
Bodø/Glimt: H. Evjen, A. Mikkelsen, M. Riisnaes, I. Sjong. Vålerenga: E. Rashani, H. Sjatil, K. Finnsson. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 82% (odds 1.17); under 2.5 goals is at 18% (odds 5.67).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 3–0 (8.4%); after that come 3–1 (8.0%) and 2–0 (7.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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