Bet with MINO CASINO →Twente are at home to Willem II on 22 November 2026 · 11:15 at De Grolsch Veste (Enschede). Our favourites are Twente (90%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Twente vs Willem II: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Twente are 4th with 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L), whereas Willem II are 18th with 2 points (0W 2D 9L).
What to expect
Twente should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 4–1, about 5 goals combined, and 3–0 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.07, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 5 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 81%.
- Absent: Twente 0, Willem II 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 55%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 5 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Twente are missing: no absences. Willem II are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Twente vs Willem II: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.07 | 19.50 | 46.00 |
| Market average | 1.05 | 14.56 | 34.25 |
| Lowest odds | 1.03 | 11.75 | 26.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.06 | 1.04 | 91.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 5.00 | 4.79 | 19.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.10 | 2.07 | 44.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Twente 3–0 Willem II, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Table: Twente 4th (23 points), Willem II 18th (2 points).
- Absences: Twente 0, Willem II 0.
Who will win Twente vs Willem II?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Twente vs Willem II: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Twente vs Willem II: who is missing
Twente
- No reported absences
Willem II
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Twente vs Willem II: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
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Twente vs Willem II: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Twente vs Willem II?
Our result tip is Twente to win (odds 1.07), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Twente or draw (1X).
Who will win Twente vs Willem II?
Our probabilities: Twente to win 90%, a draw 7%, Willem II to win 3%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 November 2026, kick-off at 11:15, at De Grolsch Veste, Enschede.
Who will be missing?
Twente: no absences. Willem II: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 81% (odds 1.20); under 2.5 goals is at 19% (odds 5.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 45% probability (odds 2.10).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 3–0 (11.5%); after that come 4–0 (10.6%) and 2–0 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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