Bet with MINO CASINO →Twente v Pafos is on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at De Grolsch Veste (Enschede). We think Twente (71%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Twente vs Pafos: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Twente are 5th with 6 points after 2 matches (2W 0D 0L), whereas Pafos are 27th with 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Twente have scored 3.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Pafos average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Twente: 4W 1D 1L, goals 18–6; Pafos: 1W 2D 1L, goals 7–7.
What to expect
Twente should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Twente 18–6, Pafos 7–7.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Absent: Twente 0, Pafos 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.77). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Twente are missing: no absences. Pafos are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Twente vs Pafos: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.34 | 6.00 | 9.15 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.46 | 8.15 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 4.84 | 6.47 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.69 | 34.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.10 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.73 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.01 | 46.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Twente 2–0 Pafos, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Twente 5th (6 points), Pafos 27th (1 point).
- Form in the competition: Twente 4W 1D 1L (18:6), Pafos 1W 2D 1L (7:7).
- Absences: Twente 0, Pafos 0.
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Twente vs Pafos: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Twente vs Pafos: who is missing
Twente
- No reported absences
Pafos
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Twente vs Pafos: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Twente
Home and away
Twente vs Pafos: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
TwenteWWPafosDLReturns calculator
Twente vs Pafos: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Twente vs Pafos?
Under 3.5 goals (1.77); Twente to win (1.34).
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
Our probabilities: Twente to win 71%, a draw 17%, Pafos to win 12%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at De Grolsch Veste, Enschede.
Who will be missing?
Twente: no absences. Pafos: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.78).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.5%); after that come 2–1 (9.5%) and 3–0 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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