Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ascoli v Sampdoria is on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno); Marco Di Bello takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.24 | 3.38 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.05 | 3.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.25 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.90 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.12 | 29.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ascoli 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ascoli 3rd (19 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Ascoli 4W 3D 1L (14:6), Sampdoria 1W 2D 5L (8:16).
- H2H: 4 matches: Ascoli 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–5.
- Absences: Ascoli 0, Sampdoria 0.
Who will win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: who is missing
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Sampdoria
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Ascoli
Home and away
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Ascoli are 3rd with 19 points after 10 matches (5W 4D 1L), whereas Sampdoria are 19th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Ascoli have scored 1.8 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Sampdoria average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ascoli: 4W 3D 1L, goals 14–6; Sampdoria: 1W 2D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Ascoli have 1 win, Sampdoria have 1 win and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–5.
What to expect
Ascoli should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Ascoli 1 win, 2 draws, Sampdoria 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Ascoli 14–6, Sampdoria 8–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Ascoli 0, Sampdoria 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Ascoli are missing: no absences. Sampdoria are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AscoliDWWDDSampdoriaWLDLLAscoli vs Sampdoria: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
Our result tip is Ascoli or draw (1X) (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Ascoli or draw (1X).
Who will win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
Our probabilities: Ascoli to win 44%, a draw 29%, Sampdoria to win 28%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno. Referee: Marco Di Bello.
Who will be missing?
Ascoli: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.94); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.94).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.2%); after that come 1–0 (10.6%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.