Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dundee meet Kilmarnock on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Dens Park (Dundee). Dundee (50%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Dundee are 5th with 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), whereas Kilmarnock are 11th with 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Dundee have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Kilmarnock average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Dundee: 4W 2D 4L, goals 14–12; Kilmarnock: 2W 2D 6L, goals 10–23.
- Head to head. In their 38 meetings so far, Dundee have 11 wins, Kilmarnock have 10 wins and 17 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 54–52.
What to expect
Dundee should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 38; Dundee 11 wins, 17 draws, Kilmarnock 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Dundee 14–12, Kilmarnock 10–23.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Dundee 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Dundee are missing: no absences. Kilmarnock are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.92 | 3.95 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.88 | 3.75 | 3.81 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.61 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.31 | 41.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.59 | 2.49 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.31 | 2.28 | 40.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Dundee 1–1 Kilmarnock, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dundee 5th (17 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Dundee 4W 2D 4L (14:12), Kilmarnock 2W 2D 6L (10:23).
- H2H: 38 matches: Dundee 11W 17D 10L, goals 54–52.
- Absences: Dundee 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: who is missing
Dundee
- No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dundee
Home and away
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
DundeeWLDWWKilmarnockDLLWLDundee vs Kilmarnock: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Our probabilities: Dundee to win 50%, a draw 25%, Kilmarnock to win 25%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Dens Park, Dundee.
Who will be missing?
Dundee: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.63); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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