Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sirius are at home to IF Elfsborg on 18 October 2026 · 13:00 at Studenternas IP (Uppsala), with Adi Aganovic, Sweden as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sirius are 2nd with 55 points after 26 matches (17W 4D 5L), whereas IF Elfsborg are 5th with 46 points (12W 10D 5L).
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Sirius have 9 wins, IF Elfsborg have 8 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 41–36.
What to expect
Sirius should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Sirius 9 wins, 4 draws, IF Elfsborg 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.7 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Sirius 0, IF Elfsborg 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sirius are missing: no absences. IF Elfsborg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.21 | 3.59 | 3.20 |
| Market average | 2.15 | 3.46 | 3.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 77.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.07 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.69 | 34.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 08:05. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sirius 1–1 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sirius 2nd (55 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
- H2H: 21 matches: Sirius 9W 4D 8L, goals 41–36.
- Absences: Sirius 0, IF Elfsborg 0.
Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: who is missing
Sirius
- No reported absences
IF Elfsborg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 | Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
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Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
Sirius -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
Our probabilities: Sirius to win 43%, a draw 27%, IF Elfsborg to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Studenternas IP, Uppsala. Referee: Adi Aganovic, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
Sirius: no absences. IF Elfsborg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.75); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.8%); after that come 1–0 (9.4%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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